Severe WX Southern Severe Weather Threat: 3/9-3/10

[Richardjacks]

4pm Walker County Alabama Hrrr

 

[Bama Ravens]

I’m tired of severe weather already. Three straight weekends of severe weather threats. I wish it were 95 and sunny.

 

[warneagle]

Probable tornado damage in AR

 

[Equus]

Because of course Walker County would have a PDS TOR plot on HRRR, lol. Sirens here sure get a workout in tornado season.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Hard to tell what that once was, but from the amount of insulation scattered into the trees, looks like it could have been a mobile home that was "relocated" from its cinder block "foundation." Not good.

Warnings from LZK and PAH appear to be updating normally on GR Level 3, but not Shreveport.

 

[Kory]

Storm around El Dorado looks to be strengthening.

 

[Weatherphreak]

Lot of junk over North Mississippi. southern most cells could do something eventually but north of Oxford to Kentucky getting worked. Anything that can pop north of I20 ahead of the line will need to be watched.

 

[Tennie]

Hard to tell what that once was, but from the amount of insulation scattered into the trees, looks like it could have been a mobile home that was "relocated" from its cinder block "foundation." Not good.

Well, hopefully no one was in it at the time, or if they were, then they made it out OK. *Knocks on wood*

 

[Richardjacks]

Looks to me like the main line is reforming further east. We have sunshine in Hoover

 

[Austin Dawg]

What is looking like the prime time for NE Miss? Trying to keep family informed.

 

[Xenesthis]

How do you all feel about southern middle TN?

 

[Equus]

Line's definitely reforming in MS, but the question is, will we get anything discrete out ahead of it

 

[FEARLESS]

Probable tornado damage in AR

Whow

 

[MichelleH]

Because of course Walker County would have a PDS TOR plot on HRRR, lol. Sirens here sure get a workout in tornado season.

And they usually come from Walker County into Cullman County...

 

[warneagle]

well this is troubling

 

[CheeselandSkies]

well this is troubling

HRRR has really been hammering on that idea since last night, and not backing off.

 

[Timhsv]

4pm Walker County Alabama Hrrr

Ripe.......

 

[warneagle]

Looks like high-end EF-1 to maybe EF-2 damage in Arkansas earlier

 

[Timhsv]

a Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1228 PM CST Sat Mar 9 2019

.UPDATE...
MESOSCALE UPDATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

We continue to monitor a negatively tilted trough across eastern
Kansas into southwest Missouri and northwest Arkansas. Vigorous
deep convection is ongoing across much of eastern Arkansas into
far northwest Mississippi and into west-central Tennessee at this
hour.

Our 09/12Z and recently launched 09/18Z special Vortex-SE
soundings continue to indicate a capping inversion that has become
more pronounced and this is limiting shower activity across the
area late this morning up to the current time. The cap is allowing
low-level instability to build without being released and this
energy will be available when a lifting mechanism/forcing breaks
it later today. At 18Z the available surface-based convective
available potential energy (CAPE) was nearly 300 J/kg and this
value is expected to continue to increase through the early to mid
afternoon hours.

 

[Timhsv]

Concerning towards sunset