- Moderator
- #101
Nah man, "Respect the Wind" is an awesome instrumental storm-chasing song!
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Severe WX Severe Wx Outbreak March 1st- 3rd, 2023 - Southern States, MS/OH/TN Valley
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Nah man, "Respect the Wind" is an awesome instrumental storm-chasing song!
tennessee storm chaser
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It’s not going to snow. Repeat lol
tennessee storm chaser
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When I get on a chase on a big system . I put-on anything. By Metallica especially the older stuff
JPWX
Member
Well guys take your pick for weather late next week.
Severe Weather or Snowstorm. LOL!
Severe Weather or Snowstorm. LOL!
- Thread starter
- #105
KevinH
Member
Severe weather
Just noticed this thread got highlighted lol
JPWX
Member
Yeah. All the writing now has a bold color. IDK
Clancy
Member
wot GFS doin
JPWX
Member
Yeah. I would love to know but I'm sticking with a severe weather threat
- Thread starter
- #110
KevinH
Member
Highlighted?
It's important to note the fact that the ensembles of the euro support a sub 1000mb low with the euro control having a 980s mb surface low is still very remarkable, may be more favorable for severe weather than with such a deep low with extremely high shear. The only time I can remember a 980s mb surface low in recent memory to take a similar track was on April 27th. The March 2021 outbreaks where a good bit higher than the low 980s mb, but are similar track to the current euro ensemble's.
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tennessee storm chaser
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The gfs is drunk, needs go to bed and sleep it off
This is why I sound the alarm on this look everytime you get a track like with a sub 1000mb low and decent moisture* it raises a lot of red flags. The last two times yeah... High risks were issued in Alabama. Doesn't mean this event will be a high risk. Just too far away to predict some of the more minor details. These are the two high risk march tornado event in Alabama from 2021.
They were either at or just slightly below of above 1000mb.
They were either at or just slightly below of above 1000mb.
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F
Former Member 1430
Guest
Well I think whichever way this goes it will be an extreme event, snow or severe. I am not in the snow camp on this one. I just don’t see it frankly. What has my attention is the severity of both the GFS and Euro regardless of precipitation type
A huge broad trough with a swinging deep upper level low through it, is also a red flag. Probably one of the worst case scenarios for 500mb. Usually leads to a higher tornado chances with better shear profiles for the mid levels with the included extreme height falls to the southeast quadrant of the swinging upper low 
April 27th 2011 500mb analysis just for reference, a large broad wave trough with a swinging upper level low.
April 27th 2011 500mb analysis just for reference, a large broad wave trough with a swinging upper level low.
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- Moderator
- #116
Might be midnight before I can see the UM model on weather.us. Should be viewable already, but there appears to be a problem.
- Thread starter
- #117
KevinH
Member
Can’t WAIT to see if the SPC highlights D8 this sat am
lol
lol
I can't believe this thread already has 6 pages and we are not even at day 7-8 time frame lol.
Personally I'm having fun diving in on potential and similar events and possibilities lol
I would like to state though synoptically were close to a crash course for a major event for portions of the deep south atleast from the European. Your major events; set themselves up on the synoptic scale but can be downgraded or upgraded a lot from the mesoscale features/analysis.
But just for clarification though, I'm not forecasting a major event or even a tornado outbreak *at this point*, just stating the obvious of a potential major event on the horizon if we keep moving forward in a similar manner.
Anyways though let's keep having fun guys until or *IF* this threat materializes.
But just for clarification though, I'm not forecasting a major event or even a tornado outbreak *at this point*, just stating the obvious of a potential major event on the horizon if we keep moving forward in a similar manner.
Anyways though let's keep having fun guys until or *IF* this threat materializes.
- Moderator
- #120
You realize of course, if this ends up being a major outbreak Kevin can never make another severe thread. 
