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Severe Weather Threat November 24-25, 2025

People seem to be writing off this semi-linear activity to the west, but with this activity in eastern Alabama exhibiting transient rotation at best, I think greatest chances for severe will come from this activity. Models have consistently progged it as the main afternoon activity. Mostly a wind threat, but if it were to de-linearize, could be looking at elevated brief tornado threat.
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Kds86z said:
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Anyone who is familiar with Dixie Alley should know better than to do this. Dixie Alley doesn’t play by the rules, can surprise you by doing more with less. Unless the SPC cancels a WW early, be QUIET.

UPDATE: And as I type this my weather radio went off due to WW expanding to incl a county (Lee) next to me in Alabama.
 
Clancy said:
People seem to be writing off this semi-linear activity to the west, but with this activity in eastern Alabama exhibiting transient rotation at best, I think greatest chances for severe will come from this activity. Models have consistently progged it as the main afternoon activity. Mostly a wind threat, but if it were to de-linearize, could be looking at elevated brief tornado threat.
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THANK YOU. I just posted about people writing events off early. Nothing is 100% until something actually happens are until the SPC cancels a WW early.

They JUST expanded the WW to include the county next to me. Why would they do that if things were calming down? Hard eye roll lol
 
Central Ohio Wx said:
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That line seems to be moving into the northern part of the highlighted area, with storms following it to the south
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I am wondering how long it will take them to issue a MD downstream of the current WW. Those cells to the south make me think that is what SPC was talking about in their latest D1 outlook when they said: “ VAD profiles from BMX, MXX, cont to show favorable low level curvature of hoods, indicative of SRH rich environments supporting rotating cells.”
 
KevinH said:
I am wondering how long it will take them to issue a MD downstream of the current WW. Those cells to the south make me think that is what SPC was talking about in their latest D1 outlook when they said: “ VAD profiles from BMX, MXX, cont to show favorable low level curvature of hoods, indicative of SRH rich environments supporting rotating cells.”
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That's what I'm guessing. Those cells are moving more easterly than northerly, but they do seem to be coming into the currently-clear area.
 
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