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Severe Weather Threat November 1-3




THE ENHANCED RISK FOR TORNADOES WAS EXPANDED SOUTH AND WEST INTO
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO ACCOUNT FOR RECENT OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS AND SHORT-TERM FORECAST GUIDANCE, WHILE HAIL PROBABILITIES
WERE EXPANDED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING ELEVATED
CONVECTION CAPABLE OF 1.00-1.50 INCH HAIL. GREATER UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS IN WHERE THE PRIMARY CORRIDOR OF DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WILL
MATERIALIZE, BUT LEADING EDGE BOWING SEGMENTS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
65-80 MPH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..HALBERT-K.. 11/02/2026
 

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I guess I'm a bit surprised by the eastward extension of the Marginal Risk for all of North MS and 2% tornado probability as well. Now, where's that switcharoo to turn off the magnet.....
 
That little arc of mini supercells near SE SD I was eying a few days ago on model guidance. Instability too low so I was like "nah"

And there it goes popping off tornadoes lmfao. StormNet has localized stronger probs near term and continues to suggest tor threat increasing again on that N OK storm but its looked cut off for a bit
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
That little arc of mini supercells near SE SD I was eying a few days ago on model guidance. Instability too low so I was like "nah"

And there it goes popping off tornadoes lmfao. StormNet has localized stronger probs near term and continues to suggest tor threat increasing again on that N OK storm but its looked cut off for a bit
Click to expand...
Surprised to see it became not even any severe thunderstorm warnings.
 
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