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Severe Weather Threat November 1-3

Freddy reporting blue skies west of Okc. I’ve missed tracking storms on laptop following along Copic.
 

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THE ENHANCED RISK FOR TORNADOES WAS EXPANDED SOUTH AND WEST INTO
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO ACCOUNT FOR RECENT OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS AND SHORT-TERM FORECAST GUIDANCE, WHILE HAIL PROBABILITIES
WERE EXPANDED FURTHER NORTH AND EAST TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING ELEVATED
CONVECTION CAPABLE OF 1.00-1.50 INCH HAIL. GREATER UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS IN WHERE THE PRIMARY CORRIDOR OF DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WILL
MATERIALIZE, BUT LEADING EDGE BOWING SEGMENTS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
65-80 MPH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..HALBERT-K.. 11/02/2026
 

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Rear flank cell severe warned in OK is the main threat according to StormNet in the new term. Stuff down south OFD but any RFD nudgers will make this one interesting given the environment it is heading into.
 
I guess I'm a bit surprised by the eastward extension of the Marginal Risk for all of North MS and 2% tornado probability as well. Now, where's that switcharoo to turn off the magnet.....
 
That little arc of mini supercells near SE SD I was eying a few days ago on model guidance. Instability too low so I was like "nah"

And there it goes popping off tornadoes lmfao. StormNet has localized stronger probs near term and continues to suggest tor threat increasing again on that N OK storm but its looked cut off for a bit
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
That little arc of mini supercells near SE SD I was eying a few days ago on model guidance. Instability too low so I was like "nah"

And there it goes popping off tornadoes lmfao. StormNet has localized stronger probs near term and continues to suggest tor threat increasing again on that N OK storm but its looked cut off for a bit
Click to expand...
Surprised to see it became not even any severe thunderstorm warnings.
 
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