Severe Weather Threat May 20-21, 2025

[MichelleH]

For tomorrow night. Also, for some reason, both Birmingham and Nashville NOAA weather radios will be down tomorrow.

 

[MichelleH]

Making a separate thread for Tuesday-Wednesday since the other thread is already quite long. Please post all info regarding tomorrow and Wednesday in this thread. Thank you!

 

[Kds86z]

Making a separate thread for Tuesday-Wednesday since the other thread is already quite long. Please post all info regarding tomorrow and Wednesday in this thread. Thank you!

Weds doesn’t have big threat though. Not even slight.

 

[MichelleH]

Weds doesn’t have big threat though. Not even slight.

Just in case anything goes past midnight tomorrow night.

 

[Kds86z]

Just in case anything goes past midnight tomorrow night.

Oh gotcha! True! It’s the south lol

 

[Clancy]

Like JP said, pretty unique setup, seasonally speaking. Hoping nothing happens, but the environment will be pretty potent for anything that gets going.

 

[Kds86z]

Like JP said, pretty unique setup, seasonally speaking. Hoping nothing happens, but the environment will be pretty potent for anything that gets going.

And since it’s later in spring a lot more instability and juice…

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Does anybody know how to pull up the HREF tornado probabilities? I can't figure out how to

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

And since it’s later in spring a lot more instability and juice…

Basically looking at some spring dynamics with early summer cape n instability

 

[ColdFront]

@MichelleH making a thread for a Dixie event… woo boy. You all buckle up. If you know you know lol.

Make sure the beacon is off and the batteries are out @JPWX

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I'm not sure if this threat will get a upgrade to moderate. But I don't like how high the parameters are, will see how things go, and what the new update looks lik

 

[JPWX]

And definitely not a PDS sounding showing up on 12z HRRR over Northeast Monroe County with near 3000 SB CAPE with a forecasted CAPE value over 3200.

 

[Kds86z]

I'm not sure if this threat will get a upgrade to moderate. But I don't like how high the parameters are, will see how things go, and what the new update looks lik

Bmx in crosshairs?

 

[Kds86z]

And definitely not a PDS sounding showing up on 12z HRRR over Northeast Monroe County with near 3000 SB CAPE with a forecasted CAPE value over 3200.

Sarcasm lol

 

[MichelleH]

Bmx in crosshairs?

North and northwest AL looks to have the worst threat. Huntsville is in the 10% hatched, Birmingham isn't. Although some of the counties BMX covers are also in the 10% and BMX won't have a working NOAA weather radio tomorrow night.

 

[MichelleH]

I'm actually rather concerned about tomorrow night. North AL hasn't had a tornado threat like this in a while, and since it's almost June, I'm worried it's going to catch a lot of people by surprise. And, per usual, it's a nocturnal threat, which makes it even worse.

 

[Brandon]

Great, just when I thought we were finally done, one final hurrah!

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

I'm not sure if this threat will get an upgrade to moderate. But I don't like how high the parameters are, will see how things go, and what the new update looks lik

See a moderate out in mornings update day 1… And any llout flow boundaries get laid down form earlier storms late tonight or early morning….. it’s game on yall

 

[Brandon]

I'm actually rather concerned about tomorrow night. North AL hasn't had a tornado threat like this in a while, and since it's almost June, I'm worried it's going to catch a lot of people by surprise. And, per usual, it's a nocturnal threat, which makes it even worse.

Local mets in HSV have been posting about it since at least Friday or Saturday on FB. That right there is enough to give me pause. Silly me had actually been moving some things out of the storm shelter as I thought we were done. Guess I know what I'll be doing this evening.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

See a moderate out in mornings update day 1… And any llout flow boundaries get laid down form earlier storms late tonight or early morning….. it’s game on yall

I'm curious to see what the new update looks like. My guess would be the 10% tornado gets dragged further southeast