Severe Weather Threat 5/19-5/22/2024

[Kds86z]

Watch Oklahoma now I guess.. ️

 

[Maxis_s]

What

 

[Tanner]

View attachment 27242
What

is that the cell that the models depicted?

 

[Maxis_s]

is that the cell that the models depicted?

Looks like it. We shall wait and see.

 

[warneagle]

If that ends up verifying after we spent so much time dunking on the FV3 I swear lol

 

[Maxis_s]

If that ends up verifying after we spent so much time dunking on the FV3 I swear lol

Every other model was showing that storm, albeit nowhere near what the FV3 showed. Who knows?

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Yep, definitely watching. Rather baffled at SPC's Day 3 outlook and the lack of a hatched area for any hazard, given the general pattern (compact, negatively tilted shortwave, deepening surface low with rich moisture in the warm sector) and environment depicted over parts of IA/MN/WI on the models.

The forecaster did not appear to be at their best senses at 2:30 in the morning.

...SUMMARY...
A broad area of severe thunderstorm potential is expected from the
southern Plains to the upper Great Lakes. The highest concentration
of severe storms is expected from eastern Kansas to southwest
Wisconsin. Damaging gusts, large hail and a few tornadoes are
possible through Monday night.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Is there enough storm chasers on this storm lol?

 

[Maxis_s]

Is there enough storm chasers on this storm lol?

View attachment 27243

Nope, not enough boat chasers in that lake

 

[Taylor Campbell]

There is serious inflow clearing on this storm.

 

[TheSuckZone]

Is there enough storm chasers on this storm lol?

View attachment 27243

When people ask why I quit chasing I show them images like this

 

[Clancy]

Is there enough storm chasers on this storm lol?

 

[Maxis_s]

What a mess lol

 

[warneagle]

Torando

 

[Muwx]

Big time cell merger incoming. Likely either going to really wrap up or be the beginning of a storm cluster

 

[warneagle]

Idk how you say mothership in Polish but

 

[Maxis_s]

Dear FV3: I hate you.

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 27246
Dear FV3: I hate you.

Good old Jeff!

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Likely QLCS spinup (unwarned) near Haven, KS.

 

[cincywx]

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CADDO...EASTERN CUSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN BLAINE
COUNTIES...

At 736 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located 5 miles west of Custer City, moving east at 30 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Broadcast media confirmed tornado.