Severe Weather Threat 4/27-4/28

[Bulkshear]

Hrrr is very bullish on north Mississippi soon.

If you live in north Mississippi/ south Tennessee i would prepare for a legit threat of potential long track strong/violent tornadoes

Yeah, I’m highly concerned here in southern middle Tennessee. I do believe we are going to get super cells that develop in Mississippi and tracking into Tennessee. The question is how far east will they go?

 

[TH2002]

And if you're REALLY unlucky, they occur at the exact same time!

Yeah... and the thing is, I wasn't even trying to be funny in my original comment. There really is a major fault line (the New Madrid Seismic Zone) in that area with a 7-10% chance of generating a ≥M7 quake, or 28-46% chance of a ≥M6 quake in the next 50 years.

During the 1811-12 quakes, what is now Memphis experienced IX (Violent) shaking. Even a magnitude 6 is likely to expose Caruthersville to VIII (Severe) shaking. The fact there are many structures there that have preexisting damage (those that were damaged but not a total loss in the 2006 F3 tornado) is a very real concern, especially if the repairs were speedy or otherwise done improperly.

Anyhow, going a bit too far down this rabbit hole.

 

[Weatherguyx]

That's a heck of a hook for the Mexico storm

 

[Kds86z]

first big hook of the day..

 

[slenker]

Yeah... and the thing is, I wasn't even trying to be funny in my original comment. There really is a major fault line (the New Madrid Seismic Zone) in that area with a 7-10% chance of generating a ≥M7 quake, or 28-46% chance of a ≥M6 quake in the next 50 years.

During the 1811-12 quakes, what is now Memphis experienced IX (Violent) shaking. Even a magnitude 6 is likely to expose Caruthersville to VIII (Severe) shaking. The fact there are many structures there that have preexisting damage (those that were damaged but not a total loss in the 2006 F3 tornado) is a very real concern, especially if the repairs were speedy or otherwise done improperly.

Anyhow, going a bit too far down this rabbit hole.

Huh. I actually had no idea about earthquakes in that area… the more you know.

 

[Kds86z]

Potentially cluster of tornadic storms.

 

[Weatherguyx]

 

[TornadoFan]

Storm right behind is tornado warned now.

first big hook of the day..

 

[SmokeEater]

Side note, special weather statement for the Cape Girardeau area, mentions rapid severe thunderstorm development possible soon.

 

[Tennie]

Side note, special weather statement for the Cape Girardeau area, mentions rapid severe thunderstorm development possible soon.

Which would help to explain why so many storm chasers are flocking to that area.

 

[ColdFront]

Storms west of Springfield, if they don’t line out, could be our first Siginificant producers of the day.

 

[Kds86z]

Which would help to explain why so many storm chasers are flocking to that area.

Brad arnold going towards ST Louis, he told Ryan he has better feeling there because of better backed winds.

 

[TornadoFan]

The storm near Alton looks very healthy. Has a pretty decent hook on it.

 

[Brice W]

Storms west of Springfield, if they don’t line out, could be our first Siginificant producers of the day.

Very early but they’re already showing supercellular characteristics.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[SmokeEater]

Brad arnold going towards ST Louis, he told Ryan he has better feeling there because of better backed winds.

SPC just put a meso out, mentions greatest tornado threat through 6pm is around St Louis.

 

[TornadoFan]

Also got some little blips going up just west of St. Louis. Still early, but they may need to be watched.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[eep]

Yeah I think the region raked over by the MCS is destabilizing again quickly.