Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 4/26-5/1/17

[Richardjacks]

the main issue is the lack of sbc, at least for now

 

[CoreyandFrosty]

the main issue is the lack of sbc, at least for now

Do you think Atlanta has a chance tomorrow of severe? Just curious. Or.....are we too far east?

 

[Taylor Campbell]

It's an increasing threat for us here in east central Alabama early morning tomorrow 11z, extending over into west central Georgia through 15z.

Plenty of model support for a tornado potential with this threat.

 

[CoreyandFrosty]

Anyways. I am going to bed guys. Hopefully, we won't see any tornadoes tonight.

 

[Bama Ravens]

Well obviously the line is broken, but seems like there are still issues in these storms' ability to become cellular, at least on the northern end.

Guess we will just keep watching.

 

[Equus]

TOR Pickens, and definitely more cellular looking storms now. More like short line segments. Not that many of them are severe but looks like really high winds with some of the segments and bows from Pickens to the SW

 

[Kory]

Looks like some warmer than expected mid level temps advected over top what small warm sector we had and really capped the updrafts of these storms as they got further east. Likely had some wind damage across Western AL, and overall the system produced 100+ wind reports.

But -8-10C 500mb temps won't keep those updrafts sustained....

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Tornado warning


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Tornado Warning

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

613 AM CDT THU APR 27 2017


The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a


* Tornado Warning for...

Northeastern Lowndes County in south central Alabama...


* Until 645 AM CDT



* At 612 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado

was located near Lowndesboro, or near Hayneville, moving northeast

at 30 mph.


HAZARD...Tornado.


SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.


IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.

Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree

damage is likely.


* Locations impacted include...

Lowndesboro and Manack.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest

floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a

mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter

and protect yourself from flying debris.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I wonder if the storm south of Pike Road is going to or already has produced a tornado. It's shown an area of rotation capable of doing it for several frames.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I wonder if the storm south of Pike Road is going to or already has produced a tornado. It's shown an area of rotation capable of doing it for several frames.

Still no tornado warning!

 

[South AL Wx]

Still no tornado warning!

Warning just issued for that cell.

 

[Kory]

We've got a tornado on the ground in Montgomery County. TDS very apparent.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Still no tornado warning!

Here it is!

684

WFUS54 KBMX 271409

TORBMX

ALC011-101-271445-

/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0023.170427T1409Z-170427T1445Z/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Tornado Warning

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

909 AM CDT THU APR 27 2017


The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a


* Tornado Warning for...

Northwestern Bullock County in southeastern Alabama...

East central Montgomery County in south central Alabama...


* Until 945 AM CDT



* At 908 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado

was located near Pike Road, or 11 miles northeast of Meadville,

moving northeast at 30 mph.


HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.


SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.


IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.

Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree

damage is likely.


* Locations impacted include...

Mitchell, Cecil and Carters Hill.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest

floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a

mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter

and protect yourself from flying debris.


&&


LAT...LON 3214 8613 3217 8614 3234 8599 3233 8597

3229 8594 3227 8592 3228 8590 3229 8590

3227 8588 3225 8588 3223 8586 3223 8582

3221 8579

TIME...MOT...LOC 1408Z 237DEG 25KT 3221 8604


TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED

HAIL...1.00IN

 

[Blizzzzznado]

At 18z, on the NAM it shows two areas, one in east Alabama and east of Atlanta that shows possible PDS tornado for what that is worth. On the GFS it shows possible tornadoes in those areas a little bit farther to the SE. It is definitely more humid here as the morning has gone on. At last check here it is 68/65. It wouldn't surprise me if we got more tornado action from a Marginal risk from the SPC compared to the Moderate risks.

 

[South AL Wx]

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN BULLOCK AND EASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

AT 916 AM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF PIKE
ROAD, OR 13 MILES SOUTH OF MILSTEAD, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Operational GFS, and NAM showing some nasty shear on Sunday for MS, AL, and TN border points.

 

[buckeye05]

At 18z, on the NAM it shows two areas, one in east Alabama and east of Atlanta that shows possible PDS tornado for what that is worth. On the GFS it shows possible tornadoes in those areas a little bit farther to the SE. It is definitely more humid here as the morning has gone on. At last check here it is 68/65. It wouldn't surprise me if we got more tornado action from a Marginal risk from the SPC compared to the Moderate risks.

What on earth are you talking about.

 

[darkskys25]

What on earth are you talking about.

I haven't looked but maybe he is talking about a sounding he is looking at?

Sent from my SM-G950U using TalkWeather mobile app

 

[Blizzzzznado]

I haven't looked but maybe he is talking about a sounding he is looking at?

Sent from my SM-G950U using TalkWeather mobile app

Yeah, just the soundings from pivotal weather, sorry I was not more specific.

 

[Xenesthis]

Operational GFS, and NAM showing some nasty shear on Sunday for MS, AL, and TN border points.

Yes but storm mode won't be cellular