Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[DanielD]

Lot's of digging on this site to find credible sources now. Not like it was in 2001 with JO, DL, Brett and BlountWolf etc. Everyone stay safe. Please stop posting "feelings, media click bait from people with no education or real experience " . Staying with the SPC, NWS and local Mets is the smart thing to do. All these questions about your backyard weather. Listen to your NWS, they know. Pets acting strange is irrelevant here. Please stay on point with the NWS. Yes I was the #2 member on this site only behind JO, until reset abs then eventually done away with member #s, which in this case would VERY helpful and date joined.

 

[Chris3024]

Looks like WAA is showing hints on radar west of Tuscaloosa

 

[jiharris0220]

 

[US_Highway15]

SPC is going all in on this, might get a 45 hatch corridor on the next outlook if that continues

Yeah I wouldn't be shocked either. Sounds like they're putting all the chips on the table for this outbreak.

 

[Kds86z]

I was afraid of that.. bit to quiet out of Arkansas

 

[US_Highway15]

Cameron Nixon just wrote a fantastic thread about today's setup and the possible caveats.

I don't have X. Someone care to summarize the thread for me?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Incredible loop of the PDS warning in MS.

 

[AL_ham_op]

I thought things were downtrending? What are they seeing that we aren't?

 

[Equus]

Cameron Nixon just wrote a fantastic thread about today's setup and the possible caveats.

Events only really getting going structurally in the eastern edge of the risk would track very well with Dixie track record lately lmao

 

[Tyler Penland]

Comparing to 4/27/11: storm motion right now appears to be more S/N than it was that morning. I'm curious to see how much of an E/W component the storms can get today, that played into how long/mature many of the 4/27 supercells were able to get because they had an easier time getting spaced out instead of running into each other.

4/27/11 regional radar:

Obviously the kinematics are absolutely off the charts today.

 

[NorthBamaWX]

I thought things were downtrending? What are they seeing that we aren't?

Their professionals your not. Just listen to them and be safe.

 

[Equus]

Meanwhile, cells north of Baton Rouge really growing. Will they take hold and start turning right shortly?

 

[Justin Hindman]

Already 76 in Tuscaloosa. Headed west to get ready to intercept

 

[UncleJuJu98]

A new PDS warning issued with the Lake rovidence MS storm

 

[jiharris0220]

I thought things were downtrending? What are they seeing that we aren't?

This isn’t meant to be directed at you.

But this comment is a perfect example of why it’s dangerous when people doubt an event that has hardly started yet.

 

[TornadoFan]

Meanwhile, cells north of Baton Rouge really growing. Will they take hold and start turning right shortly?

Already a tornado possible tag on one of them.

 

[US_Highway15]

Meanwhile, cells north of Baton Rouge really growing. Will they take hold and start turning right shortly?

Was about to mention. Storm around Woodville definitely starting to tighten up.

 

[Ledian]

*looks at motion of Mayersville storm...and polygon*

It'll stay south of my house, or at least weaken, before getting here...right?

 

[Clancy]

A few ruffled feathers in here this morning. High-octane events can do that. Step outside and take a breather if need be. No need to dunk on people's perceived credibility.

Aside from that, worth noting that this PDS Warning is actually radar-indicated. Pretty rare, but has happened a few times recently.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1026 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Sunflower County in northwestern Mississippi...
Southwestern Leflore County in north central Mississippi...
Southeastern Washington County in northwestern Mississippi...
Humphreys County in central Mississippi...
Northeastern Sharkey County in west central Mississippi...

* Until 1130 AM CDT.

* At 1026 AM CDT, a large and extremely dangerous tornado was located
near Grace, or near Mayersville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
destruction is possible.

* The tornado will be near...
Anguilla, Panther Burn, and Nitta Yuma around 1030 AM CDT.
Delta City around 1035 AM CDT.
Hollandale around 1040 AM CDT.
Murphy around 1045 AM CDT.
Belzoni and Isola around 1100 AM CDT.
Swiftown around 1110 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3339 9031 3337 9031 3337 9032 3336 9031
3332 9031 3330 9033 3315 9033 3312 9043
3296 9083 3312 9097 3341 9052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1526Z 235DEG 38KT 3296 9100

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

SAS

 

[OHWX97]

Events only really getting going structurally in the eastern edge of the risk would track very well with Dixie track record lately lmao

That's very true. March 25, 2021 immediately comes to mind.

 

[ColdFront]

I don't have X. Someone care to summarize the thread for me?

That said, I will wager today's ceiling is lower than last night, given the potential for a chaotic warm sector with numerous interactions, and a substantial northward component of storm motion into the approaching cold front, limiting the time storms have to truly go haywire