Severe Weather Threat 12.26-12.29.2024

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST SAT DEC 28 2024

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...

..SUMMARY

TORNADOES (SOME STRONG WITH AT LEAST EF2 DAMAGE POSSIBLE), SEVERE
GUSTS AND HAIL ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE THREAT AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY, THEN OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY, PARTS OF
GEORGIA, AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.

..20Z UPDATE

SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO
EAST TEXAS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF ARKANSAS/WESTERN TENNESSEE. THESE
AREAS HAVE BEEN IMPACTED BY EARLIER CONVECTION AND FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY. THE REMAINDER OF THE
OUTLOOK, THE MODERATE RISK AREA IN PARTICULAR, IS UNCHANGED. THE
CORRIDOR OF GREATEST CONCERN APPEARS TO BE FROM PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S DEWPOINTS
ARE IN PLACE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS
SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED HERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE
MID-LEVEL JET MOVES OVERHEAD AND THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS.

..WENDT.. 12/28/2024
Click to expand...
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
There was a bigger debris ball, at least after it went through Dickinson. My posts a little bit ago showed it. Damage reports take a little bit as well.
Click to expand...
And debris balls can be a bit delayed anyways, right? Takes a moment for the debris to be lofted so high in the air, so it might take a scan or two for the TDS to pop up after hitting stuff.
 
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