Kds86z
Member
60/40 tornado probs for the Texas watch.
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Severe Weather 3/9 - 3/12
- Thread starter CheeselandSkies
- Start date
It looks to be on the northern side of the front, and fairly likely to move even further northeast with time. This has some potential as a future hailer for the northern part of the Chicago metro.
Grand Poo Bah
Member
So is the dry air in the cold front going to sandwich the moist cold lake air into the warm moist air? Isn't it 3 seperate air masses, all with winds perpendicular to each other?
tornado examiner
Member
Is the lake front actually starting to recede? If so how far and how fast will it?
Kds86z
Member
Chasers say so. I find watching live chaser YouTube feed is great for real time analysis.
Initiation starting too
Ozonelayer
Member
We might have CI near Danvers, IL. Tops up to 30 KFT.
genie
Member
It's harder for it to go back north than it is for it to continue sinking. Cold air beats warm air due to physics. There will be small balancing acts, but don't expect significant northward movement.
US_Highway15
Member
It's been just straight cloud cover here near Goshen IN the whole day. I have very little hope for storms here later tonight.
US_Highway15
Member
The sun is now breaking out. Guess I just had to comment on the cloud cover for the sun to peak through.
tornado examiner
Member
I doubt the maximum ceiling will be realized now.
Yeah, Reed is already driving back to Texas to try and catch that event.
Kds86z
Member
Storm chasers are on already has a base and a feeder band on it.
US_Highway15
Member
Feeder band is getting fed into the Hudson IL store per Copic.
Gunna jinx it lol
genie
Member
That's fair, but the potential for a pretty significant event still exists. With so many subtle pieces needing to be in place, there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical. I wouldn't let my guard down, though.
speedbump305
Member
Is he actually lol.
tornado examiner
Member
Probably will still be a few cells on the southern end of the moderate that pop off later today though. Anything that crosses the warm front will be a hailer and nothing else and that’s like half of the moderate risk.
Kds86z
Member
speedbump305
Member
Blips are starting to develop and pop up.
speedbump305
Member
Regardless, there’s still a pretty big risk and i’m also worried about the risk in Texas.