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Severe Weather 2026

It was not that long ago, I questioned just how active the Fall tornado season could be. Which is why I did this Spreadsheet on MS tornadoes during the Fall and Spring months during weak, moderate, strong, and very strong El Ninos. Turns out you have more activity during weak El Ninos than very strong El Ninos. Why? Because of the subtropical jet being more of a player with strong/very strong El Ninos leading to more cloud cover issues/heavy rain events inland limiting any tornadic activity closer to the Gulf Coast/Florida. That doesn't mean you can't or won't have severe weather threats going forward. It's just gonna be much harder to do.
 

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