O boy..... If into that thread you go, only pain and suffering will you find.....
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Apparently this tornado happened yesterday??????
shockingly your not looking at a pileus but a velum cloudRare iridescent pileus in Nebraska on Stormrunner's feed.



Is this sarcasm? This is a capped out parameter space, and there's no storm motion either on the hodograph!Day 7 looks much more interesting in terms of tornado. Some very eyebrow raising sheer profiles over Eastern Iowa/Illinois.
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yeah its too capped , however there are instances that could do it with almost the same amount of capping as long as the MLCIN is not lower then -500 (or higher , Example -501) and if the MLCAPE is at 1500 as well as the LR 0-3 at over 8 , however its not at that level for LR so it wouldn't work. but then again the convective temperature is at a insane high.Is this sarcasm? This is a capped out parameter space, and there's no storm motion either on the hodograph!
Gotta watch those 45% Nipples...... LOL!Interesting signal on the Day 6 CIPS. Random little 45% nipple. Definitely don't see those probabilities this far out very often.
This is a day that has also looked quite interesting on the GEFS ensemble SCP for a dozen or so runs now. The latest run has more certainty on location, but less certainty about the actual existence of a severe weather threat, with multiple members now showing nothing at all. Similar nipple presentation on the mean SCP.
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