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Severe Weather 2026

O boy..... If into that thread you go, only pain and suffering will you find.....
 
Rare iridescent pileus in Nebraska on Stormrunner's feed.
shockingly your not looking at a pileus but a velum cloud

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumulonimbus_velum

Pileus tend to be a Altocumulus lenticularis on top of the cloud that then quickly vanishes once the storm cloud bust through it

Velum tend to be a altostratus cloud that unlike pileus tends to stay around the storm even when the storm went through it.
 


Nasty wall cloud in NE, looked like it may have been briefly (and weakly) on the ground.
 
Interesting signal on the Day 6 CIPS. Random little 45% nipple. Definitely don't see those probabilities this far out very often.

This is a day that has also looked quite interesting on the GEFS ensemble SCP for a dozen or so runs now. The latest run has more certainty on location, but less certainty about the actual existence of a severe weather threat, with multiple members now showing nothing at all. Similar nipple presentation on the mean SCP.

1787614442837.png1787614640478.png1787614675489.png
 
Day 7 looks much more interesting in terms of tornado. Some very eyebrow raising sheer profiles over Eastern Iowa/Illinois.

1787614951678.png
 
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