Severe Weather 2025

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Weird area of rotation in Central LA rn on the backside of the storm, potential bookend vortex but doesn't seem like it? LLJ kicking in but unsure if storms will sustain ahead of thermodynamic issues.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Brief tornado or two possible tmrw morning/afternoon in the mid Atlantic!

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

A few tornadoes perhaps possible now in the mid-atlantic tomorrow. Mid level lapsw rates raise questions about storms sustaining but otherwise, conditional threat. We will see

 

[Kds86z]

A few tornadoes perhaps possible now in the mid-atlantic tomorrow. Mid level lapsw rates raise questions about storms sustaining but otherwise, conditional threat. We will see

My area .

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

My area .

More specifically towards the Washington DC vicinity. A few tornadoes remain possible thru the 15z-18z period. Wouldn't be TOO surprised if SPC go 5% but not surprised if they don't

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

The conditional few tornadoes risk appears to have trended the good way. Morning convection is currently zapping up instability in the vicinity which was the best scenario. Admittedly we're rather lucky that instability was zapped. These shear profiles are rather impressive. If we got up to around 800-1k MLCAPE, very easily a strong tornado or two would've been possible.

 

[Kds86z]

The conditional few tornadoes risk appears to have trended the good way. Morning convection is currently zapping up instability in the vicinity which was the best scenario. Admittedly we're rather lucky that instability was zapped. These shear profiles are rather impressive. If we got up to around 800-1k MLCAPE, very easily a strong tornado or two would've been possible.

 

[JPWX]

Looking at latest forecast model runs (18z GFS, 12z Euro, and 12z Canadian), it looks like we might get back into the severe weather potential by late next week into next weekend.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

In agreement that the pattern may be busy. Strong low level shear meeting with instability a few times on some of those runs, but we will see if the trends continuous

 

[JPWX]

I'm thinking about getting the RadarOmega Radar Sweep add on

 

[akt1985]

Is Sunday 11/9 looking stormy for the Deep South? I’m returning from Florida that day.

 

[KevinH]

Looking at latest forecast model runs (18z GFS, 12z Euro, and 12z Canadian), it looks like we might get back into the severe weather potential by late next week into next weekend.

Came here to look for THESE kind of comments lol

@Clancy you feel like chiming in at all about November? Ha

 

[Clancy]

Came here to look for THESE kind of comments lol

@Clancy you feel like chiming in at all about November? Ha

Agree with @JPWX. GFS shows a storm system for late next week into the weekend, but nothing that immediately appears overly-impressive. Likewise, ensembles show some possible disturbances moving through during that time frame, but it's not particularly eye-popping. This time of year, setups seem to be either immediately obvious due to kinematic profiles well into the medium range or rather hard to sniff out until a few days before.