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My area .A few tornadoes perhaps possible now in the mid-atlantic tomorrow. Mid level lapsw rates raise questions about storms sustaining but otherwise, conditional threat. We will see
More specifically towards the Washington DC vicinity. A few tornadoes remain possible thru the 15z-18z period. Wouldn't be TOO surprised if SPC go 5% but not surprised if they don'tMy area .
The conditional few tornadoes risk appears to have trended the good way. Morning convection is currently zapping up instability in the vicinity which was the best scenario. Admittedly we're rather lucky that instability was zapped. These shear profiles are rather impressive. If we got up to around 800-1k MLCAPE, very easily a strong tornado or two would've been possible.