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Severe Weather 2025

In the short term, the most notable severe weather threat will probably be on Wednesday in North-Central NM. Strong 500 mb flow should be able to initiate cells, and perhaps even a brief tornado risk may be evident. The main issues are veered flow and high bases + moisture, which will likely make small hail and damaging winds the dominant risk regardless. Still wouldn't rule out a brief spinup but chances are a bit low. After that, a bit quiet but then of course, models and ensembles have been picking up on more persistent troughing. Second season is upon us!
 

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