Severe Weather 2025

[Kds86z]

.FRIDAY/DAY 7 AND SATURDAY/DAY 8

THE LARGE-SCALE MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE
ROCKIES ON FRIDAY, AS A RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES, ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND ON SATURDAY ACROSS
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AS THE EXIT REGION OF A LARGE-SCALE
MID-LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A SEVERE THREAT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG A CORRIDOR OF MAXIMIZED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY FROM THE OZARKS NORTHWARD INTO THE MID TO UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT ON SATURDAY, UNCERTAINTY IS SUBSTANTIAL MAINLY DUE TO THE
EXTENDED RANGE AND WIDE VARIANCE AMONG THE MODEL SOLUTIONS.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

.FRIDAY/DAY 7 AND SATURDAY/DAY 8

THE LARGE-SCALE MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE
ROCKIES ON FRIDAY, AS A RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES, ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND ON SATURDAY ACROSS
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AS THE EXIT REGION OF A LARGE-SCALE
MID-LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A SEVERE THREAT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG A CORRIDOR OF MAXIMIZED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY FROM THE OZARKS NORTHWARD INTO THE MID TO UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT ON SATURDAY, UNCERTAINTY IS SUBSTANTIAL MAINLY DUE TO THE
EXTENDED RANGE AND WIDE VARIANCE AMONG THE MODEL SOLUTIONS.

oh shoot, it tis on, time to start prep for sec season stuffs

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

As of now, no outlook yet, but that wording indicates that when we get much closer and they get a much better idea of what could happen an outlook then could be warranted.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

.FRIDAY/DAY 7 AND SATURDAY/DAY 8

THE LARGE-SCALE MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE
ROCKIES ON FRIDAY, AS A RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES, ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND ON SATURDAY ACROSS
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, AS THE EXIT REGION OF A LARGE-SCALE
MID-LEVEL JET MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A SEVERE THREAT WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG A CORRIDOR OF MAXIMIZED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY FROM THE OZARKS NORTHWARD INTO THE MID TO UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT ON SATURDAY, UNCERTAINTY IS SUBSTANTIAL MAINLY DUE TO THE
EXTENDED RANGE AND WIDE VARIANCE AMONG THE MODEL SOLUTIONS.

It's THAT time of year...

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Well models still show huge ws and sharp dryline with the jet streak in place, def gonna keep a more careful eye on this now, obv still many hrs out but its sticking around so that rings some bells

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

He has spoken.....

 

[JPWX]

The 12z Euro today, though not as aggressive as yesterday's 12z run, still had good shear/CAPE/Dewpoints for around the 20th timeframe with system. 00z Euro signal the same thing.