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Severe Weather 2025

Excellent, thank you! That helps on the anxiety front. I mean, I don't want hail either, buuut overnight is way better for me personally.

Which reminds me, we had a burst of small hail in southwest Madison on Wednesday the 19th (day of the overblown 10% hatched tornado risk with 40s dewpoints in northern Illinois). This was my car when I left work. Fortunately well below severe criteria and rather soft-ish. Did you see anything that day?

*That was also the day the precipitation left muddy streaks on everything because of all the Southern Plains dust lofted into that storm system.

PXL_20250319_180210624.jpgPXL_20250319_180226082.jpg
 
12z euro For the deep south threat next weekend. View attachment 37803View attachment 37804
When the Euro tries to explicitly resolve supercells
Ralph Wiggum Danger GIF
 
I pretty much just told my EMA director that North MS has a threat of severe storms late Tuesday night thru next Monday.
 
Seriously, how do you prepare for and message for that? That's a lose-lose situation goodness.
So I don't have a good answer for that yet because it's been a while since we've literally had a week long severe threat. 2011 comes to mind because you had outbreak each week in April, but even then you had roughly 2-5 day breaks in between. This week, you just get basically 2 day break. The way we're (me and my EMA director) are planning to handle this is start messaging for Wednesday after we get through current threat then so forth. Our goal is not to get the messaging mixed up for which threat and not to have people start worrying about the next threat until we get tonight's threat out of the way. Focus on current threat first. Prior to the 2011 outbreak, I wasn't involved much with our county EMA, but that all changed after that event.
 
Which reminds me, we had a burst of small hail in southwest Madison on Wednesday the 19th (day of the overblown 10% hatched tornado risk with 40s dewpoints in northern Illinois). This was my car when I left work. Fortunately well below severe criteria and rather soft-ish. Did you see anything that day?

*That was also the day the precipitation left muddy streaks on everything because of all the Southern Plains dust lofted into that storm system.

View attachment 37805View attachment 37806
Nope, didn't see anything interesting just south of you. At least, I feel like I would remember hail... I know there was a day fairly recently where we had some graupel, but it was before it switched over to snow, I'm pretty sure. Unfortunately, my memory of dates over the past month and how they correlate to the weather isn't the greatest. Have had some other stuff going on that means I notice things but then immediately file them away and forget the specifics, heh.
 
The CPC's latest forecasts for the next week or so suggests that there's a good chance for severe weather activity to overall calm down next week:

6-10 Day temperature:
610temp.new.gif

6-10 Day precipitation:
610prcp.new.gif

8-14 Day temperature:
814temp.new.gif

8-14 Day precipitation:
814prcp.new.gif
 
On another note, quite the ice storm in northern Michigan.











https://www.facebook.com/Tgreer06/videos/1204111174404959

I had some freezing rain as well Saturday night/Sunday morning. It would've been much worse than it was, since it was hanging around 0C-1C for the whole day, and then later warmed up a bit more and some rain melted it away. Some small branches did snap but thankfully not too much damage (although one of them hit me while I was walking)
 
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