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I'll pull the triggerSince Day 4 and 5 are affecting more of the population on the board as opposed to the current threat, I think they should be separated.
Latest NAM (currently still rolling) is MUCH more bullish for today than the HRRR...now we shift mesoanalysis as the main event draws near to see who wins. But the SPC seems to like the NAM solution, so....
Yucky. This pattern has spoiled a lot of east coast people with this nice, summer like warm weatherThings look to quiet down after the weekend. We are heading into a W. CONUS ridge/E. CONUS trough pattern.
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Pattern appears be lastingThings look to quiet down after the weekend. We are heading into a W. CONUS ridge/E. CONUS trough pattern.
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You get any pictures/videos from last night?Pattern appears be lasting
Bout 2 weeks before we get another big mjo wave end April , more severe wx threats then
Yucky. This pattern has spoiled a lot of east coast people with this nice, summer like warm weather
On average the plains severe season normally starts around early may or so…. Don’t think Dixie mid south regions are done yet evenWe should, thank goodness, get a break from major severe weather for at least the next week or so, as we move into a less conducive pattern. But, CIPS suggests a severe threat will return come the middle of the month. At long range, parameters such as CIPS' severe analogs tend to favor the Plains for severe activity, so I would expect the location of these corridors to change, but a signal for return to severe weather seems apparent, so take a breath, but don't get complacent, because we're probably not done for this spring.
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Probably around the time that the MJO signal returns to produce the "Upper echelon" type outbreak Matt described earlier in the thread... yikesWe should, thank goodness, get a break from major severe weather for at least the next week or so, as we move into a less conducive pattern. But, CIPS suggests a severe threat will return come the middle of the month. At long range, parameters such as CIPS' severe analogs tend to favor the Plains for severe activity, so I would expect the location of these corridors to change, but a signal for return to severe weather seems apparent, so take a breath, but don't get complacent, because we're probably not done for this spring.
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Good point , Matt mentioned this earlier … we haven’t seen worst severe wx system yet here I fearProbably the time that the MJO signal returns to produce the "Upper echelon" type outbreak Matt described earlier in the thread... yikes
Good point , Matt mentioned this earlier … we haven’t seen worst severe wx system yet here I fear