Yeah, I’m having issues too.
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Current Tropical Systems Erin
Severe Weather 2025
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Justin Hindman
Member
Now I see it’s just Birmingham that’s not working
This is just a fact of life when you're transmitting electromagnetic radiation and not hitting many targets with the main beam. Here is a generalization of the radar beam pattern.
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The CSU-mlp tool introduced a Day 7 30% contour with last night’s model runs. We headed more favorably with the threat in today’s runs.
CheeselandSkies
Member
Two-day contour on the latest 4-8 for 3/29-30. The latter is quite large. Discussion makes mention of an "all-hazards" threat (implicitly including tornadoes), which is rather unusual at this range.
Seems the operational GFS may be playing catch-up with this setup a bit, because while the last few runs do depict a trough in this timeframe, it doesn't appear exceptionally impressive to me at least compared to the mid-month system we just had.
Seems the operational GFS may be playing catch-up with this setup a bit, because while the last few runs do depict a trough in this timeframe, it doesn't appear exceptionally impressive to me at least compared to the mid-month system we just had.
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tennessee storm chaser
Member
Yeah no doubt gfs is just know catching up … euro and cmc are outbreaks . Good ensemble suooort gefs
Well, that might be a new record.
The first week of April better not have an organized trough ejection...
cniemczura
Member
Well that's an interesting D7.
Looks to maybe be a straight line event with that type of coverage?
06z GFS with another double low system like last event.
OhOkayThen
Member
When SPC says "all hazards" at D7, it's for more than just a straight line event potential.
Usually see SPC state "primarily wind" or nothing about "all hazards" when that is the case. Especially past 3 days out.
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Do y'all think a new thread should go ahead and be made?
Since SPC has put the large slight risk on the 7-day and this system has been showing up for days...yeah, go ahead.
New thread made
Thread 'Severe threat 3/29-3/30' https://talkweather.com/threads/severe-threat-3-29-3-30.2377/
Thread 'Severe threat 3/29-3/30' https://talkweather.com/threads/severe-threat-3-29-3-30.2377/
Join the “@Clancy Club” lol
Sky_I565
Member
Ah I see.But this explains it now. Thanks Matt for the explanation!
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tennessee storm chaser
Member
That is one broad though there , negative titled also