Severe Weather 2025

[KevinH]

With all due respect, can we please keep the discussion in this topic on the actual threat? I'm a little tired of checking this site, seeing a bunch of new replies, and seeing nothing but junky memes and jokes about bad forecasts. As I recall, there's a weather banter thread for that stuff. I look in here to get good information on an event that actually might impact my life next week.

AAAAAND now you have a thread for next week

Severe WX - Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

It’s time to start this thread at this point. Too many models on board with a significant event. First picture is showing the low barometric pressure of this thing. Crazy….

talkweather.com

 

[Brice W]

AAAAAND now you have a thread for next week

Severe WX - Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

It’s time to start this thread at this point. Too many models on board with a significant event. First picture is showing the low barometric pressure of this thing. Crazy….

talkweather.com

Before I open this, was this you Kevin?
Update: It wasn’t.

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Don't forget we are losing an hour tonight.

California could get a pretty big storm next week, which is about as severe as things get here. It could move across the country and cause more severe weather elsewhere.

 

[JBishopwx]

Persistent supercell been traveling down near HWY 84 tonight:

 

[KevinH]

Before I open this, was this you Kevin?
Update: It wasn’t.

no but I was this close… I wanted to wait until the SPC highlighted areas.

Why? lol

 

[Brice W]

no but I was this close… I wanted to wait until the SPC highlighted areas.

Why? lol

You always jump the gun with the threads. I find it to be great lol.
Edit: not great use of words, just found it funny how someone would always think of starting a thread and you’d have it.

 

[KevinH]

You always jump the gun with the threads. I find it to be great lol.

Jumped the gun? Lol

I typically don’t start a thread until the SPC highlights an area, which is only within 8 days of an event. I was juuuuuuust about to start a thread for next week but someone beat me to it (and it wasn’t @Clancy ….. for once lol)

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Significant hail coming down on the Miramar Beach, FL web cam. https://30a.com/miramar-beach-web-cam/ (time sensitive).

 

[Clancy]

Strong and severe thunderstorms ongoing across SE AL, SW GA and NW FL.

 

[Matt Grantham]

Just popping in to support Fred in his assessment. Fred and I have been working on this for the past few months. This is easily the most similar seasonal pattern to 2011 we've tracked since 2011, except we appear to be starting in March this time....

It appears we are on track.

 

[KevinH]

It appears we are on track.

Still lining up THAT way huh? Even after this weekend?

 

[Fred Gossage]

Still lining up THAT way huh? Even after this weekend?

The posts Matt and I previously made about the season overall were never tied to just this coming weekend system or any one in particular. We didn't say what we did because we were watching this coming system specifically. If anything, from a global pattern recognition standpoint, it's always looked like April would have the most potential.

 

[Clancy]

While all eyes are rightly set on this coming weekend, we may also need to watch the March 18-21 period for a synoptically different setup that could give folks a severe threat of some sort from the Plains to the Southeast.

 

[Wind Driven Coconut]

Looks like we might have a confirmed tornado going through the Orlando metro area.

 

[Clancy]

Looks like we might have a confirmed tornado going through the Orlando metro area.View attachment 34864

Confirmed by local EMA.

 

[Clancy]

Looks to have occluded, but moved over heavily populated areas between Orlando and Sanford at its peak strength. Had classic messy supercell structure, and based on the strength of that CC, could've been significant.

 

[Wind Driven Coconut]

Tornado with debris spotted at Fox-35 studios. That’s directly off I-4. Rare instance where I can watch the local news for details.

 

[Clancy]

Another storm is moving ashore South of Tampa, with attendant circulations.

 

[Clancy]

Another storm is moving ashore South of Tampa, with attendant circulations.
View attachment 34871

Now Tornado-Warned.

 

[AJS]