Severe Weather 2025

[Kds86z]

 

[Ozonelayer]

Looks like they pulled the trigger on the 10% hatched, buckle up fellas.

 

[lurker]

They added a small ENH risk as well.

 

[Kds86z]

Waiting for someone to post when the last time a hatched tornado risk was in OK or AR in Sept.

 

[Kds86z]

Has anyone seen an enhanced that small before? Lol ..

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Well, if that isn't the cutest little Enhanced risk I've ever seen...

 

[Kds86z]

Well, if that isn't the cutest little Enhanced risk I've ever seen...

Read my mind @CheeselandSkies

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Oh we are so back.

615,000 people live in the hatched area, so maybe that played a part in the stronger messaging. Should be an attention grabber for sure.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

convective chronicles is live or planning to be i guess he is trying something new but is planning on doing a forecast discussion if today went enhanced and since it did well there ya have it but didnt really expect him to do a livestream which is fine just something new different so all good

 

[Ozonelayer]

Latest HRRR run has multiple supercells in the primed corridor. Definitely something to watch.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

under five minutes to go but the livestream should be available afterwards as a video and can post the link here if needed

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

he is now live

 

[Kds86z]

convective chronicles is live or planning to be i guess he is trying something new but is planning on doing a forecast discussion if today went enhanced and since it did well there ya have it but didnt really expect him to do a livestream which is fine just something new different so all good

Thank ya @KakashiHatake2000

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Thank ya @KakashiHatake2000

yeah absolutely your welcome

 

[Kds86z]

he is now live

Take aways:

Nam favors backed low level winds more then other models
This is jungle chase territory of course and on top of it these will be HP supercells
Not a long lasting event, over tornado wise by early evening

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Take aways:

Nam favors backed low level winds more then other models
This is jungle chase territory of course and on top of it these will be HP supercells
Not a long lasting event, over tornado wise by early evening

yep wouldnt the other models still have favorable wind barb profiles despite them not backed like the nam is showing yes and right hrrr shows ceiling and wrf-nssl shows best case scenario for the folks in that risk area

 

[Kds86z]