Severe Weather 2023

[UncleJuJu98]

The newest operational GFS run looks pretty substantial. Not much agreement from the 00z Euro though. I guess we are still in ensemble watch mode

 

[JPWX]

12z GFS. The Euro and Canadian aren't quite in range yet.

 

[KevinH]

12z GFS. The Euro and Canadian aren't quite in range yet.

That doesn’t look pretty

 

[JBishopwx]

12z GFS. The Euro and Canadian aren't quite in range yet.

This is more exciting than Alabama football.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

This is more exciting than Alabama football.

Unfortunately that is true. Awful game right now.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Unfortunately that is true. Awful game right now.

Can I have a go VOLS lol

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Can I have a go VOLS lol

Lol maybe they will have a better game, I root for Tennessee over Florida in this one

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Worst Alabama game I've ever seen. Worse than a snow Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency in Alabama.

 

[akt1985]

Worst Alabama game I've ever seen. Worse than a snow Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency in Alabama.

One has to wonder if it’s the beginning of the end for Nick Saban. Meanwhile, it looked like Hurricane Lee wasn’t much of a factor for Florida State at Boston College today. Also, it will be interesting to see how Primetime Deon Sanders does when they have their first game in the snow in Boulder.

Back on topic, if there is severe weather in the South next weekend, it looks like it would be on Sunday, meaning the SEC games would be ok. Pro games might be a different story.

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[KevinH]

Awesome video! I live in West Central GA (right on the AL/GA border). With El Niño in place, a strong -PDO present, a pretty dang warm Gulf, and the Mean z500 anomaly (based on that ONE model), I am going to be watching the AO like:

 

[KCweatherboy]

15% D4 and D5 in the plains popped up today.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Big severe risk area for day 3. Id imagine a enhanced will come eventually

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I could see two straight enhanced days tbh. Probably not strictly tornadoes though, but Oklahoma area for day 4 and Nebraska/kansas areas for day 3.

 

[JPWX]

I'm thinking we might see at least a Marginal Risk issued for North MS either for Sunday or Tuesday.

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[TH2002]

First TOR of the day. Cranking hard w/ a nice hook on reflectivity, but not much of a couplet on velocity yet

 

[JPWX]

First time in September since 2015 that parts of MS have been in a Extreme Drought Category and first time that parts of MS have been in Exceptional Drought Category in September since 2000.

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Risk