Shelter Tech

Severe Weather 2022

The severe weather season for year 2022 will be?

  • Above Average

    Votes: 15 68.2%
  • Average

    Votes: 7 31.8%
  • Below Average

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .
Status
Not open for further replies.

JBishopwx

Member
Sustaining Member
Messages
181
Reaction score
347
Location
Ackerman, MS
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer

JPWX

Member
Messages
335
Reaction score
865
Location
Smithville MS
If there was ever a classic example for a significant severe weather/tornado outbreak, it's off today's 12z Euro Operational and Euro Ensemble Control. Basically everything except hurricanes is in the cards for Christmas Week (snow, sleet, freezing rain, blizzard, heavy rain, flooding, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds).
 

Attachments

  • ecmwf-ensemble-c00-central-t2m_f_anom-1753600.png
    ecmwf-ensemble-c00-central-t2m_f_anom-1753600.png
    122.6 KB · Views: 0
  • ecmwf-deterministic-central-apparent_temperature_f-1796800.png
    ecmwf-deterministic-central-apparent_temperature_f-1796800.png
    207.1 KB · Views: 0
  • ecmwf-deterministic-central-t2m_f-1796800.png
    ecmwf-deterministic-central-t2m_f-1796800.png
    170.8 KB · Views: 0
  • ecmwf-deterministic-conus-t2m_f_anom-1796800.png
    ecmwf-deterministic-conus-t2m_f_anom-1796800.png
    164.6 KB · Views: 0
Messages
1,964
Reaction score
2,200
Location
Madison, WI
If there was ever a classic example for a significant severe weather/tornado outbreak, it's off today's 12z Euro Operational and Euro Ensemble Control. Basically everything except hurricanes is in the cards for Christmas Week (snow, sleet, freezing rain, blizzard, heavy rain, flooding, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds).

Was just seeing a discussion of this on another weather forum (although most people there are more interested in the prospects of wintry wx with this system). Seems like I have to say it every week now...December is the new April (or May).
 

Clancy

Member
Messages
835
Reaction score
913
Location
Macland, Georgia
If there was ever a classic example for a significant severe weather/tornado outbreak, it's off today's 12z Euro Operational and Euro Ensemble Control. Basically everything except hurricanes is in the cards for Christmas Week (snow, sleet, freezing rain, blizzard, heavy rain, flooding, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds).
Definitely looks gnarly. I'd love to get some snow instead of tornadoes but nature usually doesn't play along :(
 

Austin Dawg

Member
Sustaining Member
Messages
549
Reaction score
609
Location
Leander, Texas
If there was ever a classic example for a significant severe weather/tornado outbreak, it's off today's 12z Euro Operational and Euro Ensemble Control. Basically everything except hurricanes is in the cards for Christmas Week (snow, sleet, freezing rain, blizzard, heavy rain, flooding, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds).
Amazing... just amazing!
 

KevinH

Member
Messages
554
Reaction score
834
Location
Columbus, GA
If there was ever a classic example for a significant severe weather/tornado outbreak, it's off today's 12z Euro Operational and Euro Ensemble Control. Basically everything except hurricanes is in the cards for Christmas Week (snow, sleet, freezing rain, blizzard, heavy rain, flooding, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds).
I smell another thread
 
Messages
370
Reaction score
483
Location
Oakland, Tennessee

JPWX

Member
Messages
335
Reaction score
865
Location
Smithville MS
That title! LOL!
hey arnold nicksplat GIF
 

KevinH

Member
Messages
554
Reaction score
834
Location
Columbus, GA

Taylor Campbell

Member
PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
1,520
Reaction score
1,096
Location
Wedowee, AL
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
If there was ever a classic example for a significant severe weather/tornado outbreak, it's off today's 12z Euro Operational and Euro Ensemble Control. Basically everything except hurricanes is in the cards for Christmas Week (snow, sleet, freezing rain, blizzard, heavy rain, flooding, tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds).

That EURO run was a big outlier. So far abnormally cold weather looks more likely in the extended.
 

JBishopwx

Member
Sustaining Member
Messages
181
Reaction score
347
Location
Ackerman, MS
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
Based on the five confirmed and the numbers on NWS Jacksons website:
 
Last edited:

JBishopwx

Member
Sustaining Member
Messages
181
Reaction score
347
Location
Ackerman, MS
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
Based on the five confirmed and the numbers on NWS Jacksons website:
Had to get my numbers right, but edit above post with right tweet.
 

warneagle

Member
Messages
3,135
Reaction score
1,855
Location
Arlington, VA
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
Obviously that comes with the caveat that there's an inherent bias in that data set because the number of tornadoes that are able to be detected and surveyed is much greater now than it was in the pre-doppler radar era.
 
Messages
1,964
Reaction score
2,200
Location
Madison, WI
Obviously that comes with the caveat that there's an inherent bias in that data set because the number of tornadoes that are able to be detected and surveyed is much greater now than it was in the pre-doppler radar era.

Right, but that's true of nearly all tornado records. A new yearly state record is fairly noteworthy, especially for a state like Mississippi which has endured years like 2011 (I count 13 tornadoes in the state just from the afternoon round on 4/27, there were at least that many with the morning) and 2014 (4/28 outbreak).
 

Sawmaster

Member
Messages
279
Reaction score
373
Location
Pickens SC
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
I found a very interesting vid showing multiple vortices, multiple or satellite finnels and tornadoes, and more, They didn't specify exactly when or where it was tsken but it seems they mean this year so I'm posting it here
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top