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Severe Weather 2021

Taylor Campbell

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Looks like trouble brewing on today’s 12z euro In extended period …

This isn't just a EURO thing. We are getting a lot of signals for an extended return flow and a period of above average temperatures next week. Moisture levels look plentiful. Should energy ejection from the west misbehave watch out!
 

JPWX

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The 12z GFS and 12z Euro Dewpoints/Surface temperatures valid around the 31st. Like @Taylor Campbell said, this would be trouble. Honestly, I would expect a severe weather threat around this time especially based on the signals that we should go into a colder pattern next month.
 

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This isn't just a EURO thing. We are getting a lot of signals for an extended return flow and a period of above average temperatures next week. Moisture levels look plentiful. Should energy ejection from the west misbehave watch out!
Agree with u. Just put more merit with euro at this range … but gfs has same idea no doubt . Got my attention for sure
 
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Seems to be a good bit of variability at this range with trough evolution. One thing for sure though is quality moisture return will be in place. Days upon days of return flow from the south.
It is possible that there will be several shortwave impulses rather than a single consolidated ejection. The LR EPS hints at a cutoff under the NPAC blocking ridge.
 

JPWX

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Looking at the 18z GFS temperature and dewpoints, this looks like this could be a multi day severe weather threat as well.
 

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