Severe Weather 2021

[WesL]

As a Floridian, I’m thinking of changing my user name to Wind Driven Coconut.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Totally doable

 

[Casuarina Head]

An early morning tornado injured one in south Fort Myers, FL and a wind driven coconut damaged a car in Miami.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Looks like trouble brewing on today’s 12z euro In extended period …

 

[mdberry]

Looks like trouble brewing on today’s 12z euro In extended period …

Details and potential area of impact for us novices please…

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Looks like trouble brewing on today’s 12z euro In extended period …

This isn't just a EURO thing. We are getting a lot of signals for an extended return flow and a period of above average temperatures next week. Moisture levels look plentiful. Should energy ejection from the west misbehave watch out!

 

[JPWX]

The 12z GFS and 12z Euro Dewpoints/Surface temperatures valid around the 31st. Like @Taylor Campbell said, this would be trouble. Honestly, I would expect a severe weather threat around this time especially based on the signals that we should go into a colder pattern next month.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

This isn't just a EURO thing. We are getting a lot of signals for an extended return flow and a period of above average temperatures next week. Moisture levels look plentiful. Should energy ejection from the west misbehave watch out!

Agree with u. Just put more merit with euro at this range … but gfs has same idea no doubt . Got my attention for sure

 

[JPWX]

Very interesting discussion in today's SPC Day 4 thru 8 Outlook from Tuesday through the 31st especially this last section. Clearly to have the Gulf loaded with 70 dewpoints is bad in itself

 

[Clancy]

GEFS shows the possibility for severe weather around New Year's since yesterday. This is the collective probability of SCP above 1 for 18Z on 12/31, based on all ensemble members.

 

[MichelleH]

I REALLY hope there's not a severe threat on New Year's Eve, because so many people are going to be partying and NOT paying attention!

 

[Kory]

Seems to be a good bit of variability at this range with trough evolution. One thing for sure though is quality moisture return will be in place. Days upon days of return flow from the south.

 

[JPWX]

I've outlined a general area that could be impacted by this potential severe weather threat next week.

 

[Casuarina Head]

Seems to be a good bit of variability at this range with trough evolution. One thing for sure though is quality moisture return will be in place. Days upon days of return flow from the south.

It is possible that there will be several shortwave impulses rather than a single consolidated ejection. The LR EPS hints at a cutoff under the NPAC blocking ridge.

 

[bwalk]

Crazy Warm right now

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Crazy Warm right now

View attachment 11207

That’s the pre curser to potentially a big severe outbreak towards new years

 

[JPWX]

That’s the pre curser to potentially a big severe outbreak towards new years

Yep

 

[akt1985]

I REALLY hope there's not a severe threat on New Year's Eve, because so many people are going to be partying and NOT paying attention!

Not to mention a lot of people will be focused on the Crimson Tide playoff game that afternoon.

 

[JPWX]

The 18z GFS CWASP valid the 29th and then the 31st.

 

[JPWX]

Looking at the 18z GFS temperature and dewpoints, this looks like this could be a multi day severe weather threat as well.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Looking at the 18z GFS temperature and dewpoints, this looks like this could be a multi day severe weather threat as well.

Possibly something on the order of this event? Let's hope it's not any worse...

2010 New Year's Eve tornado outbreak - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org