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Severe Weather 2018

This severe weather season will be?

  • Above Average

    Votes: 7 31.8%

  • Average

    Votes: 13 59.1%

  • Below Average

    Votes: 2 9.1%
  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .
So Eric Burke of WAFF in Huntsville is hinting at possible severe weather Monday 12/31...any thoughts?
 
MikeAthensAl said:
So Eric Burke of WAFF in Huntsville is hinting at possible severe weather Monday 12/31...any thoughts?
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It has my attention too. CAPE is still up in the air but shear is plenty. As long as there's no blocking mechanism along the coast and we get adequate moisture return and forcing, the CAPE will be sufficient. We can get away with CAPE below 500 if other parameters make up for it.
 
For whatever it's worth my copy of the Farmer's Almanac seems to be forecasting an active severe weather season for 2019 if the El Nino holds out. Even though large outbreaks are more associated with Ninas, there definitely have been impressive seasons during Nino years. 1953, 1965, 1968, 1977, 1991, 1997, 2004, and 2015 come to mind.

As an aspiring chaser, I do hope they're right, although it is definitely a catch-22 as you never want to see loss of life and widespread destruction. A season like 2016 (large number of photogenic thunderstorms and tornadoes with relatively low loss of life and property) would be amazing.
 
WAFF actually put out a first alert for Monday. Will have to wait and see if they update to a first alert weather day.
 
SilentShadow87 said:
For whatever it's worth my copy of the Farmer's Almanac seems to be forecasting an active severe weather season for 2019 if the El Nino holds out. Even though large outbreaks are more associated with Ninas, there definitely have been impressive seasons during Nino years. 1953, 1965, 1968, 1977, 1991, 1997, 2004, and 2015 come to mind.

As an aspiring chaser, I do hope they're right, although it is definitely a catch-22 as you never want to see loss of life and widespread destruction. A season like 2016 (large number of photogenic thunderstorms and tornadoes with relatively low loss of life and property) would be amazing.
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We certainly overdue for a active. Season. To say the least ...
 
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68 degrees in Huntsvegas. A little warmer than what I expected to walk out to this morning.
 
well happy new years everyone.... guess its time for the 2019 severe topic... haven't really dug into much yet... but lets get this rolling... as a chaser, and severe storm lover... just hoping see a little more action this season for mid south and the Dixie region...
 
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