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Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025
- Thread starter CheeselandSkies
- Start date
@Atlantic 5:30 is when we should start to see these storms develop. Very marginal line coming through, probably gonna get some lighting at the worst around us. South and North of us have the worst of it. Around Harrisonburg and south in like Buckingham county.
P.S. I am skywarned certified so if anything does happen it’ll get reported from your very own
P.S. I am skywarned certified so if anything does happen it’ll get reported from your very own
warneagle
Member
Swing and a miss on that one, guys.
(Adding text to make the post longer)
(Adding text to make the post longer)
US_Highway15
Member
Hodograph where those two cells are right now. Definitely favorable for supercell development. However, what might prevent them from being tornadic are the LCL numbers. They're currently sitting around 1200 -1300.
Helpful tip, you don’t have to add a bunch of words to post, there’s a checkbox at the bottom that will let you bypass that.
It’s super annoying they left that post length feature enabled
Ozonelayer
Member
Yeah, the northern twin is already looking decent in terms of structure on radar.
Dryline has gotten quite a bit sharper with the latest runs, but it's still not super impressive by any means.
TornadoFan
Member
Kds86z
Member
Discrete mode much?
- Thread starter
- #470
CheeselandSkies
Member
18Z 3K NAM remains...aggressive, to put it mildly. Quite different solution than the HRRR, but it's been consistent with this look with every run since the event came into range.
Current radar from KARX as posted above makes me think it might be onto something (and not just on something)...
Current radar from KARX as posted above makes me think it might be onto something (and not just on something)...
Ozonelayer
Member
I don't think this was forcasted much by the HRRR, if at all. Did not expect semi discrete/discrete development in MN/WI by any means.
Kds86z
Member
3 tornado warning just popped. One confirmed.
TornadoFan
Member
Confirmed tornado near Spring Hill, MN.
Let's see how long the (semi) discrete mode can last.
lake.effect
Member
Beast of a supercell getting organized just south of River Falls, WI
TornadoFan
Member
Ozonelayer
Member
- Thread starter
- #478
CheeselandSkies
Member
Cell currently over Dodgeville looks to be gradually intensifying and is nicely ahead of what will become the main line. Might have potential down the road, but it's moving north-northeast toward Sauk County where the terrain is horrible.
Ozonelayer
Member
Also, was OWS convection even forcasted? I thought today was just a QLCS threat!
notsoencrypted
Member
Weather radio just alerted for a tornado watch here until 10PM.