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- #421
CheeselandSkies
Member
So Reed is targeting near Eau Claire, eh? Hope he enjoys his views of tree tops.
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Also - tornado Otg again in MN
Looks like someone is trying:ChatGPT is a good resource but I think someone should develop a LLM for purposes of weather forecasting itself. Maybe focused on the short-term Day 1-3 analyses.
That's what I was thinking. Without the 15% tornado risk in the upgrade to moderate, I doubt it goes high for tornadoes. It's so rare to see high risks for damaging winds. I really can't recall the last one lol.If SPC were to go High tomorrow, it would be for damaging winds especially if models start sniffing out derecho potential.
This is more in line,Same with Reed Timmer quotes. If we want to read what he thinks, we all know where to find him.
Thanks. I was just thinking High would make sense if there was a 100 mph+ derecho involved.The High Risk definition on SPC's website clearly states "long-lived derecho producing thunderstorm complex"
High risk - An area where a severe weather outbreak is expected from either numerous intense and long-tracked tornadoes or a long-lived derecho-producing thunderstorm complex that produces hurricane-force wind gusts and widespread damage. This risk is reserved for when high confidence exists in widespread coverage of severe weather with embedded instances of extreme severe (i.e., violent tornadoes or very damaging convective wind events).
I understand that the definition of a high risk allows for this, but in practice, they are on the record saying that is no longer how they are treating it. I would have to find the original quote but it was directly from a current SPC met.The High Risk definition on SPC's website clearly states "long-lived derecho producing thunderstorm complex"
High risk - An area where a severe weather outbreak is expected from either numerous intense and long-tracked tornadoes or a long-lived derecho-producing thunderstorm complex that produces hurricane-force wind gusts and widespread damage. This risk is reserved for when high confidence exists in widespread coverage of severe weather with embedded instances of extreme severe (i.e., violent tornadoes or very damaging convective wind events).
I'd be interested in more information about this if you want to message it to me! I think it's a pretty useful tool, and it's especially good at pattern recognition, which makes it fun to use for weather.
Last one I can think of was June 12th, 2013That's what I was thinking. Without the 15% tornado risk in the upgrade to moderate, I doubt it goes high for tornadoes. It's so rare to see high risks for damaging winds. I really can't recall the last one lol.
Here we go:
Here we go: