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Archive Severe threat April 26-27, 2011

FoulWeather
Posted 27 April 2011 - 10:55 AM

Tornado warning in Morgan/Lawrence county.
 
will2013
Posted 27 April 2011 - 10:56 AM

StormStalker, on 27 April 2011 - 10:50 AM, said:

High winds with the storms as they moved through here. I assume there will be more trees down. Lots of rain coming down. Flash flooding will soon be an issue I think.
Click to expand...


Yeah hearing a lot of flash flooding here in flornence.. heard a woman stuck in a van too while trying to cross some high water
 
trency911
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:00 AM

FFC now saying long-tracking tornadoes.
image_full3.gif
 
KG4GUF
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:03 AM

To back up what Trency said, here's the FFC 12z sounding:ffc12obs.gif
 
will2013
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:09 AM

"Governor Robert Bentley declared a State of Emergency for all Alabama counties as a result of severe weather impacting the state."
 
Jason Echols
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:11 AM

Per Morgan County Emergency Management:

Tornado confirmed in Mt. Hope, AL...confirmed but not yet touched down.

I know Mt. Hope is in Lawrence County. I happened to be listening to Morgan County, and they are going into emergency mode.
Edited by Jason Echols, 27 April 2011 - 11:15 AM.

 
bingcrosbyb
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:14 AM

Anyone ever seen this in a meso discussion before?

Quote

A LONG LEAD-TIME/LONG DURATION PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS /PDS/ TORNADO
WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED SOON
 
steveklein
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:16 AM

just got my power back from the storm that moved through around 5am. im about 12 miles southwest of downtown birmingham and was at the absolute apex of that squall when it moved through. storm was amazing. no hail at my house, but winds easily topped 70-80mph. storm was tornado warned at the time.

about 5 miles to my east, my parents dealt with the same stuff a few minutes later in the Inverness/Caldwell Mill Road area. They also lost power and report numerous trees down on houses throughout their neighborhood.
 
vegaseagle
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:18 AM

TWO TS NEAR ATHENS AL REPORTED
 
aarontabr
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:19 AM

There go the sirens again.
 
StormStalker
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:20 AM

Athens area is about to get hammered.
 
ARCC
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:20 AM

trency911, on 27 April 2011 - 11:16 AM, said:

The new watch probs are off the charts.
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Holy cow.... How could you go higher???
 
bingcrosbyb
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:20 AM

Good Lord. Apocalypse. PDS Watch 232. This is unbelievable.


Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
High (>95%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
High (90%)

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (>95%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
High (90%)

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (>95%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
High (90%)

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
Edited by bingcrosbyb, 27 April 2011 - 11:21 AM.

 
Tyler Penland
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:21 AM

Bing beat me to it lol.
Edited by Tyler Penland, 27 April 2011 - 11:22 AM.

 
TXTornado
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:22 AM

trency911, on 27 April 2011 - 11:16 AM, said:

The new watch probs are off the charts.
Click to expand...


When you get probs >95%, that's about as sure a thing as you can get... again, not sure I have EVER seen these kinds of numbers and wording coming from the models and the SPC. I'm in TX on the far west side of yesterday's PDS watch, so I'm praying for all in the deep south today.
 
ARCC
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:22 AM

I know it's crazy, but if there is ever a time you need to use 60% tornadoes in the High Risk area again, this is it.

 
Tyler Penland
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:23 AM

ARCC, on 27 April 2011 - 11:22 AM, said:

I know it's crazy, but if there is ever a time you need to use 60% tornadoes in the High Risk area again, this is it.
Click to expand...


I bet they expand it as well. Possibly further east. They will almost definitely go east with the probs after FFC's 12z sounding.
Up to 75 here. DP still 64
Just jumped to 66 per wunderground.
Edited by Tyler Penland, 27 April 2011 - 11:25 AM.

 
trency911
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:26 AM

Tyler Penland, on 27 April 2011 - 11:23 AM, said:

I bet they expand it as well. Possibly further east. They will almost definitely go east with the probs after FFC's 12z sounding.
Up to 75 here. DP still 64
Click to expand...


I wouldn't doubt it if parts of Atlanta metro got place under a high risk. Update coming shortly should be interesting.

 
KG4GUF
Posted 27 April 2011 - 11:26 AM

Do we think they'll expand the High Risk eastward over the Atlanta area today? That FFC sounding is probably the scariest I've EVER seen for FFC.
 
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