Severe WX Severe threat 3/30-3/31

[TH2002]

 

[The Nino]

very late to the game on this system, haven't been tracking it at all. How are things looking for North Alabama? Sun has been out here in Huntsville, 75 deg with 65 deg dew

 

[AJS]

Latest sounding from LZK.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[JPWX]

Tornado warned storm north of New Madrid needs to be monitored. Could head in direction of Mayfield, KY.

 

[AJS]

Tornado warned storm north of New Madrid needs to be monitored. Could head in direction of Mayfield, KY.

Oh no.

 

[TornadoFan]

Tornado warning for Jonesboro now.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Tornado warned storm north of New Madrid needs to be monitored. Could head in direction of Mayfield, KY.

That one's got a nudger right behind it, wondering if it'll help with tornadogensis

 

[SmokeEater]

TW for Jonesboro AR.

 

[wx_guy]

Action definitely picking up! Just as the sun is beginning to set. I have a feeling it's going to be a potent evening ahead.

 

[AJS]

I think that storm will avoid Mayfield. Looks to be moving more to the North.

 

[SmokeEater]

Second TW going for Paragould, AR.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[TornadoFan]

Brad Arnold's view!

 

[tornado examiner]

Diaz again. Really? Mother Nature loves trying to repeating itself sometimes.

 

[ColdFront]

Latest sounding from LZK.

Bit of a weird hodograph. You can see a little bit of the cap still there, but it’s southwest of the main action right there so may not be totally representative of the environment

 

[andyhb]

18z sounding is not going to very representative of the conditions 5+ hours later.



The VAD at Memphis currently is highly favorable for tornadoes with multiple supercells upstream.

 

[andyhb]

Taken from SPC mesoanalysis, note that the dewpoints are lower and the temps are higher across E AR due to mixing, this is likely why storms are struggling a bit to become tornadic currently (with some tendency towards outflow dominance). That changes once you get closer to the MS River, and is likely why CAMs have been more aggressive with UH output into W TN.

 

[AJS]

Monette, AR included in the large tornado warning for Jonesboro and surrounding areas.

 

[AJS]

Jonesboro storm ramped up.