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Severe WX Severe threat 3/30-3/31

Tomorrow still looks to be an odd setup for the Southeast this time of year. Kinematics aren't particularly impressive, but I could easily foresee storms taking advantage of the instability and putting down QLCS tornadoes wherever pockets of enhanced SRH are present.
(Sounding from near Clanton)
1743371655459.png1743371884275.png1743372135136.png1743372141184.png
 
Okay, so new high-res WRF-ARW from me coming in! It focuses on the threat tonight/tomorrow. Let's look! I'll post a few images at a time, because it's still coming in slowly.




First up, the composite radar at 0z tonight. First time in my running/testing that I've seen a "High" Threat potential.

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A couple hours later, the tornado threat continues --->

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As we near midnight, TN looks to be the star:

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More updates coming soon. It's still running the early hours on Monday pre-dawn. (I haven't posted it yet, but that storm cluster in W MS shown on the 5z image above looks to be turning into a potent QLCS as the morning on the model progresses. Stay tuned.)
 
By 4 AM Central, that QLCS has materialized in MS with an attendant tornado risk, according to my WRF-ARW model run that's ongoing:


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At 5 AM Central, it's still posing an embedded tornado risk and surging eastward.


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By 7 AM, it's a fully formed and mature QLCS and is on B'ham's doorsteps.


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