Severe WX Severe Threat 25 March 2021

[Equus]

Just eight days apart. Can tornado season hurry and end pls

 

[WhirlingWx]

Good luck to all of y'all under the gun today... Praying for the safety of you and your families

 

[kevinrock]

My goodness that's strong wording in the Outlook.

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[Fred Gossage]

5z HRRR continues the trend toward a cleaner afternoon warm sector and then multiple relatively clean and discrete supercells going in more than one confluence band.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

My goodness that's strong wording in the Outlook.

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If this unfolds today the NWS offices need to use enhanced wording for the most dire tornado warnings and emergencies. Like the NWS in Wichita used on 4/14/12. https://www.alabamawx.com/?p=59262

 

[WesL]

Morning everyone. Just had to Benadryl the dog as he was going nuts with the wind. I’ve got one of our new test stations running at my apartment. Just registered a 43 mph gust. Going to be a long day ahead. Stay safe.

 

[Austin Dawg]

Dewpoints in the 60's up into Tennessee at 2:55 AM CST. Heading to the rack.

Dew Point and Wind Map

 

[sak]

A lot of convection across the region this morning. Could help us out later today if junk convection continues into the late morning

 

[Kragg]

Looks like there’s already some breaks in the clouds down to the south-southwest of the rain. What are the chances the low-level stuff gets burnt off by mid morning?

 

[sak]

Looks like there’s already some breaks in the clouds down to the south-southwest of the rain. What are the chances the low-level stuff gets burnt off by mid morning?

This is what I am watching. It seems like the HRRR wants to keep developing showers and storms for the next several hours though. This shows rain and clouds still socking in most of north Alabama at 11am (graphic shown), and even after that -- some scattered showers around. Doesn't really look like the sun is going to break out in full force across north/central AL for much time today according to the HRRR. But who knows...

 

[CheeselandSkies]

A lot of convection across the region this morning. Could help us out later today if junk convection continues into the late morning

Radar looks mostly clear in the southern half of Alabama and most of MS with only scattered showers/storms. Not the sort of thing that generates an instability-killing cold pool.

07Z HRRR is . 08Z backed off a little bit but still quite rough-looking especially for TN and NW AL.

 

[Jpgood97]

S

Radar looks mostly clear in the southern half of Alabama and most of MS with only scattered showers/storms. Not the sort of thing that generates an instability-killing cold pool.

07Z HRRR is . 08Z backed off a little bit but still quite rough-looking especially for TN and NW AL.

Do you have an image of the 07z ? Haven’t had a chance to look at recent models

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Do you have an image of the 07z ? Haven’t had a chance to look at recent models

Snapshot valid for 23Z tonight:

 

[Richardjacks]

Just waking up and looking at radar, the main area of rain is ahead further north than some runs last night. While there are showers lagging behind, they are fairly separated, with nothing much south of Bham. The warm sector is already looking cleaner than last week.

 

[speedbump305]

In my opinion: This could be a very very terrible day if the storms keep their ingredients together... please y’all stay safe out there! this will for sure be more active and deadly than march 17

 

[Richardjacks]

Looks like there’s already some breaks in the clouds down to the south-southwest of the rain. What are the chances the low-level stuff gets burnt off by mid morning?

It could, if it were mid April, no question. Now we wait and see what happens in places like Jackson and Meridian Miss.

 

[speedbump305]

Richard Jacks, how do you feel about today?

 

[Richardjacks]

If current radar trends continue, I see a very bad day ahead.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Looks like there’s already some breaks in the clouds down to the south-southwest of the rain. What are the chances the low-level stuff gets burnt off by mid morning?

Rapid clearing now in se Arkansas nw Mississippi. Pushing north quickly

 

[MattPetrulli]

Judging off HRRR trends, probably gonna need a high risk expansion to the north and east well into Tennessee imo. 09z HRRR