Severe WX Severe Risk 2/23-2/24

[Timhsv]

I don't ever remember this parameter displaying a 90% percentile. Dangerous day especially across North MIssissippi into NW Alabama.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

I don't ever remember this parameter displaying a 90% percentile. Dangerous day especially across North MIssissippi into NW Alabama.

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[tennessee storm chaser]

Agree. Don’t even think 4. 27 11 didn’t have that

 

[Xenesthis]

This looks bad! I keep saying that this risk looks to me like it will encompass a larger area to the east as well. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the tornado threat to continue further into the evening as well

 

[Timhsv]

Just looked at the SPC MESO page and already see that the new VTP parameter is showing a "5" across SW Mississippi this hour. KGWX is even showing some hybrid super cellular structures near the warm front attm

 

[champal3003]

And with the saturated ground already in place, it will not take much wind at all to knock trees down. I have seen about 5 or 6 trees down in my area just due to saturated soil itself and combine this with wind from storms and that will make this even worse.

 

[CAL]

The psychological component of weather forecasting is fascinating

 

[gangstonc]

I still don’t trust the models. I understand they are pretty zeroed in, but this is not a multi day warm sector with an established moisture pool, strong mid level dry slot, and bomb of a low.

 

[akt1985]

There is a blob of heavy rain over north Alabama. That was unexpected.

 

[Daryl]

 

[KoD]

12z HRRR coming in and still looks nasty. Nearly 2000J/kg CAPE in some places of MS. About time to switch over to mesoanalysis. Looks to be a very interesting day ahead.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I’m stopped in Tupelo, MS, and need Best Buy to open up soon so I can get a new camera.

 

[Richardjacks]

looking at the first visible images for the day, I think there will be some sunshine in parts of the risk area.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

looking at the first visible images for the day, I think there will be some sunshine in parts of the risk area.

Yeah. Getting breaks here in west tenn now. Peeks of sun already

 

[akt1985]

Dewpoints have already shot up into the upper 60s south if I-20/59 in central Alabama with peeks of sun coming out.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Looking like the dry line setting up ... heading from eastern ok going into western Arkansas ....

 

[Richardjacks]

Is it just me or is 12nam and rap and hrrr showing more cells ahead of the main line? what looks to be the warm front appears to be hanging a little further south?

 

[TornadoFan]

Alot of convection in western Arkansas. What's that gonna do to the atmosphere?

 

[Gail]

Sun, warm temps, and partly cloudy skies north of Columbus.

 

[Richardjacks]

The high quality instability may be pinched a little south...next few hours will be critical.