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Severe potential 2/23-2/25 (2 Viewers)


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Niagara Falls, Ontario
Yeah, they don't look that impressive. I wonder if NWS Memphis is just forgetting to add "capable of" in front of "producing"

Normally if the tornado is a radar confirmed, the warning will say that there is a debris signature.
I was actually wondering that too. A few NWS offices really seem to have gotten sloppy in the last year or two. It is a damned if they do, damned if they don't situation - too much crying wolf has led to people getting killed in the past, but obviously they don't want to be too conservative and not warn a supercell that actually does produce a tornado, either. The 6/7/16 Eureka, KS tornado was violent (causing near-EF4 damage in extremely rural areas), but there wasn't even a watch issued.

To be frank, the SPC has been a bit sloppy with their convective outlooks in the last couple of years as well. With the power of hindsight, an enhanced risk would have been enough for 4/26/16. 4/2/17 could have easily been covered with a 10% risk of tornadoes in my opinion, but they went with 30% hatched. On the flip side, 5/25/16, 8/24/16, 4/14/17, and 4/29/17 all should have had at least a 10% hatched risk issued, and while 4/29/17 was the only one out of those that turned deadly, it was sort of a reversed cry wolf effect. 2/28/17 probably needed a 30% hatched risk.

Again, this is all with the power of hindsight, but these are the sort of mistakes that get people killed, especially if they're repeated over and over.
 
Latest warning says the same thing. I think the text of the warning may just be messed up because it seems strange that you'd have 4 warnings back to back that all were producing a tornado given that the rotations don't look that impressive and they overall tornado threat isn't very high.
 

JayF

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can you explain that in red neck terms lol
They sent some sound into the sky and got some weird return with some lines on it. All I know is that Hold on to your hats cause its going to get windy.
 
Alright, I asked NWS Memphis if the tornado warned storms over north MS were producing tornadoes and they said:

"The rotation is radar indicated, which prompted the warning. We have not had confirmation of a tornado on the ground with these storms."

So obviously the warning text was messed up.
 

NorthBamaWX

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Alright, I asked NWS Memphis if the tornado warned storms over north MS were producing tornadoes and they said:

"The rotation is radar indicated, which prompted the warning. We have not had confirmation of a tornado on the ground with these storms."

So obviously the warning text was messed up.
wow you have a direct line with them. Impressive
 

JayF

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Precipitation mode is really screwing with the velocity on the Columbus AFB radar.
The NWS in Huntsville is saying that the radar data is in an area obscured due to Trees. It is causing issues with the radar data but the storms should be moving out of that area soon.
 

Mike S

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Yeah, that's probably issue rather than precipitation mode. I forgot that there is an issue with trees around that radar site.
right by the radar, right? And they can't remove them. I don't remember the details but it was kind of screwy.
 

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