Tropical Storm Melissa

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

I think thats a tower of some sort?

 

[TornadoFan]

Hurricane warnings up for Jamaica now.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

there is still a
possibility that Melissa could become a category 5 hurricane during
the forecast period. After passing near or over Jamaica,


thats concerning, still holding onto that..... makes sense but still

 

[tornado examiner]

That central blob looks much nicer now. Maybe attempting to stack more vertically again.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I am thinking a slow drift northwest with the weak steering currents. Could become nearly stationary off the eastern coast of Jamaica as it waits to be pulled north and east. Rapid intensification looks likely and I could see this becoming at Cat 5.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

That central blob looks much nicer now. Maybe attempting to stack more vertically again.

yeah in gen it looks really good, much better over the past few minutes now

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

I am thinking a slow drift northwest with the weak steering currents. Could become nearly stationary off the southeast tip of Jamaica as it waits to be pulled north and east. Rapid intensification looks likely and I could see this becoming at Cat 5.

View attachment 47748

I mean NHC still says this could very much happen so we just gotta wait and see atp

 

[Taylor Campbell]

That central blob looks much nicer now. Maybe attempting to stack more vertically again.

Yes sir, think this is lift off. Should see quite the improvements through the early morning hours.

 

[tornado examiner]

Yes sir, think this is lift off. Should see quite the improvements through the early morning hours.

We won't know for sure until recon confirms the sheer is no longer tilting it. But based on visuals of IR it looks like that could be the case. In which case, yes it could be go time unless upwelling has occurred. (which is unlikely)

 

[Taylor Campbell]

I don’t see any reason this isn’t on the way to jumping several categories and too major status soon.

 

[tornado examiner]

Melissa kinda looks like Oscar did last year. A localized blob of a hurricane spinning really fast with a tiny invisible eye due to cloud cover.

 

[N0mz]

How can you tell where LLC is?

 

[tornado examiner]

How can you tell where LLC is?

Recon data? That's the only place I know where to find it.

 

[tornado examiner]

Could it's centered have reformed to the east again? It looks like it might have.

 

[tornado examiner]

Saturday here. RI to begin some time today.

Speaking of which, those latest scans are scaring me. New bands forming, and the whole blob just kind got a rotation to it. Bending into a very squat curl. I kinda don't wanna go too sleep just too see what it does in the near term still.

 

[tornado examiner]

Pressure is down to 987MB.

 

[tornado examiner]

I have little doubt that Melissa is a hurricane now, even while still fighting sheer.

 

[tornado examiner]

Not officially a hurricane yet though. And still won't be til 7am

 

[N0mz]

Pressure is down to 987MB.

Yep looking better on IR

 

[tornado examiner]

Yep looking better on IR

You can see the curl and swirl on the infrared. It's really trying to fight the dying sheer. This is another “it's gonna blow up soon” kinda look.