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Tropical Storm Melissa

Officially off the C5 train for this one. It'll be close, but I don't think it'll make it to 160, not with Jamaica gumming up the works. On the negative side, I think a direct hit or sideswipe is likely, and thus Melissa may end up being their worst storm on record. Current Melissa retirement chance: around 80%.

Of course, things could change by Sunday.
 
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