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Severe WX March 30th- April 1st 2023 (South, Southeast, Ohio Valley, Upper Midwest)

warneagle said:
I wonder what's causing those cells in western/central Illinois to struggle like that. On paper they're in a pretty favorable environment.

The little mini-supercells in Arkansas are struggling a bit too but obviously they have plenty of time to ramp up once the LLJ strengthens.
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Yeah Illinois had some very favorable parameters
 
We have some surprisingly high LCLs across the southeast with these, really don't see high based dusty tornadoes here all that often; we have had some pretty decent temp/dew spreads in the low levels (18z at Jackson here) so that checks out but still interesting to see

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Equus said:
We have some surprisingly high LCLs across the southeast with these, really don't see high based dusty tornadoes here all that often; we have had some pretty decent temp/dew spreads in the low levels (18z at Jackson here) so that checks out but still interesting to see
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Yeah Cameron Nixon pointed that out earlier, it's a really weird combination of extreme low-level shear and high LCLs that you don't really see in the south very often.
 
Yeah we are really going to want this to stay south of Southaven and Olive Branch, very populated Memphis bedroom communties there; Hernando is pretty decently sized too so we have some population at risk either way
 
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