NWS doesn't seem convinced, either. New warning is radar indicated.
I remember the NE-Mid Atlantic outbreak 3 years back had upper 50s dewpoints, including an EF3. BUT none of the cells produced any thunder. Still, yeah, the sub 60 dewpoints buoyancy make me question a significant outbreak of high end tornadoes . I can't help but think that this limits the northern outbreak to an extent.The Crittenden tornado on 3/2/2012 formed w/ surface temps in the upper 50s or lower 60s, not sure what the dewpoint was but I'd imagine it was close to that.
Yes, just tightened upLooks like the Hot Springs cell did a cycle, couplet weakened and now looks pretty potent again.
Agreed he is doing a great job. His link is here for those interestedI’ve defaulted to watching Ryan Hall. I think he’s pretty good and has a lot of simultaneous livestreams from chasers.
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