Hmmm... by the weather or by TW's Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency policy?You're about to get virtually smacked.
Hmmm... by the weather or by TW's Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency policy?You're about to get virtually smacked.
Saying the B word can get you in trouble here lolI am in that watch. Still expecting a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency.
Saying the B word can get you in trouble here lol
I think things have changed since then and it may depend on the forecasterI remember the 4/27/11 tornado watch for GA being a PDS with 80/70 probs.
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Looks like it's undergoing a merger at the moment.Cell has a hook-echo south of Jackson, MS.
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Don't tell ME, tell @Lake Martin EF4 lolSave the Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency claims for AFTER the event!
Could be the "storm of the day" depending on the environment it's in.Cell has a hook-echo south of Jackson, MS.
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Almost finished with the merger, the environment will only get better as it moves north.Could be the "storm of the day" depending on the environment it's in.
It may also depend on wind and hail probabilities as well as to whether it gets a PDS.PDS requires 80/80 or higher.
4. "It is a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency" policy (updated 24MAR21)
Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency posts during severe weather events will not be tolerated. Just because it is sunny and clear at your house, doesn't mean other members aren't under the gun. Be respectful before you go into an active severe weather thread and declare a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency. This is the type of discussion we expect in post-storm analysis. Furthermore, disrespectful Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency posts that specifically call out someone who made a prediction that didn't pan out are highly discouraged. Science is hard, things change and Mother Nature doesn't like us knowing her intentions.
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Merger appears to have completed, hook is impressive but the couplet isn't particularly noteworthy yet. Not sure what kind of shear it has to work with at the moment but of course, it'll spell trouble if it's moving north into an area with significantly higher shear values.My one thought on that cell is that the low-level wind shear might not be strong enough yet for it to really get going. The best dynamic support really hasn't arrived yet.
It's starting to get more healthy now, as it moves north and later in the evening it'll get better. Give it another hour and it'll be drastically betterMy one thought on that cell is that the low-level wind shear might not be strong enough yet for it to really get going. The best dynamic support really hasn't arrived yet.
Yeah if it holds together for another hour or two then it should have a lot more to work with in terms of the low-level shear. Just something to potentially keep in mind for the OWS storms firing at this point.It's starting to get more healthy now, as it moves north and later in the evening it'll get better. Give it another hour and it'll be drastically better