We seem to keep getting back into this NW flow pattern. We had a brief shake up this past week, but the dominant overall pattern since November has been a NW flow. You can see how badly it is enhancing the drought across the Deep South and Plains.GFS op looks amazing. Meanwhile Euro isn't evening showing a disturbance. Nothing but a large dome of high pressure. GFS/CMC and to a lesser extent JMA all show a low just north of the GOM running east of the Appalachians, but ensembles GEFS, GEPS, EPS (plus Euro) favor the uneventful scenario. Hopeful we get some decent agreement soon.
Another year, another version of: King Euro vs. Inbred potato on steroids GFS.
The perpetual pattern shake up has been 2-3 weeks away and not moving forward.