Severe WX Invest 92L/Hurricane Isaias Severe WX

[tigerman29]

Isaias is a little ahead of schedule, no?

According to the discussion, they will probably issue the watch in the next hour or two though some of those rain bands are getting close to shore.

 

[Ozonelayer]

Trey still fairly bullish on the tornado threat. Labeling it "robust" and that he would not be suprised for a chance at a strong tornado

 

[Kds86z]

Hatched tornado 10% now from SPC.AS ISAIAS APPROACHES THE COAST, RAINBANDS ON ITS EASTERN PERIPHERY
WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TOWARD THE BIG BEND OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE,
FAR SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. THROUGHOUT THE DAY, A MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE
EASTERN GULF WILL ADVANCE NORTHWARD, RESULTING IN DESTABILIZATION
OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE CURRENT VAD
PROFILE AT KTLH IS ALREADY SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADO POTENTIAL (I.E.,
0-1 SRH OVER 250 M2/S2), AND LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND SRH WILL STRENGTHEN
SIGNIFICANTLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONCE THE MID 70S F
DEWPOINTS COME ONSHORE, PERSISTENT, DEEPER UPDRAFTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE PROPENSITY TO ROTATE AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
TORNADOES, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

 

[Kds86z]