Chris3024
Member
I live right on the south side of the city of Cullman, so I’ve been watching it for a while now
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Severe WX December 31, 2021 - January 1, 2022 Severe Threat
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
- Admin
- #382
Gotcha.
- Admin
- #383
It looks like it is going to dissipate,, but something we should continue to watch.
This let me beat the siren by about 5 mins, well done.
Pivoted south a bit as it went through Decatur
Chris3024
Member
yep
00z CAMs are a problem overnight for AL, especially central AL.
Clancy
Member
I was just about to say, I know some aren't impressed by the soundings, but the HRRR is still showing some definite UH streaks.
Bama Ravens
Member
Seems like the HRRR has been a bit overly bullish for this event, though.
It was overly bullish about the potential for supercells in central AL yesterday. I know we had the one tornado in DeKalb County, but if you bought what the HRRR was showing, you would have thought we’d have seen more than just that.
Clancy
Member
True, but the rest of the CAMs seem to agree with it for the most part.
- Admin
- #390
It happens. But you never know until it happens. Better to be over-prepared than under.
- Admin
- #391
If I were in Dekalb or Jackson counties near that storm, I would be taking cover.
- Admin
- #392
And there it is. Tornado Warning
Chris3024
Member
Even with the rain shower that came through in Cullman city. I’m still holding steady at 72°/68°
kcyalater
Member
agree with this. i think the relatively quiet day may work against awareness this evening into the night.
Clancy
Member
TOR in NW GA.
Equus
Member
Convection is definitely on the upswing across west central AL, and surely the cap will weaken as the midlevels cool a bit (not to mention increased forcing as the line gets here) so would not be surprised to see isolated cells overnight, but will have to see if surface winds can remain southerly as veering back to the southwest would work at least somewhat against storm mode if we want to take advantage of the low level shear for a major tornado threat
- Moderator
- #397
I'm closely watching the cell that just popped up in Sipsey.
Equus
Member
Wow low level shear is absolutely absurd for anything that manages to get going here, RAP showing 400+ 0-1km srh, really hope updrafts do not get established but those showers are going 10-15+kft locally which might be enough to be interesting
Equus
Member
Will be watching surface winds at Tuscaloosa and Jasper closely, if they start to back any and these showers start getting lightning or showing signs they're above the cap then we definitely might have a few problems. Southern Fayette cell is over 55dbz and 20kft echo top height, we might have some cooling aloft sneaking in (or better forcing)
Clancy
Member
SPC issued MD, says uptick in activity in central AL a possibility that should be monitored.