Severe WX December 31, 2021 - January 1, 2022 Severe Threat

[kcyalater]

south of clanton doing something

 

[KevinH]

Hey, all! Long time lurker here, and first time posting. I make this place one of my open browser tabs when severe weather might happen. I really appreciate y'all's (all y'all's) knowledge! I've seen so many spot-on observations/predictions here. I'm impressed every time I come here. I am also fascinated by mother nature and the things she can do.

I just want to say as an outsider that sometimes, it seems like people are hoping for tornadoes, and while that is awesome to behold, it sucks for the people under the gun/potentially under the gun/lost their house or worse. So, please keep that in mind. Sorry if I stepped on toes saying this.

Hi. Two things

#1: I don’t think people in this forum are hoping for tornadoes to see life and property lost. Mets and those with an interest in severe weather can’t study and understand tornadoes unless and until they happen. Studying the destruction caused by tornadoes can help to understand them better. So if people do wish for severe weather to occur, I like to think it comes from that aspect.

#2: It is important to remember that we can’t always (correctly) interpret intent via written communication. There are certain aspects of spoken communication that we use to interpret what someone says, and some of those aspects are absent when reading text, increasing the chance to misinterpret what someone says, their intent, etc.

Just a different perspective… stay safe!

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Might have to extend the thread title a day, looks like we have a slight risk upgrade incoming for parts of the coastal Southeast including the FL panhandle, southeast AL, most of GA (except NW) and the Carolinas.

This feels like one of those sneaky setups where with the expected shear values, if a storm can find a sweet spot of sufficient 0-3km CAPE at the right (or wrong, as in just as it approaches a populated area) time, it could have a much higher-impact outcome than yesterday (Worst case scenario, something on the order of Nashville-Cookeville 2020).

The one major thing this setup has going for it that yesterday didn't (per SPC) will be actual cyclogenesis which, although it won't occur until late tonight, can make up for a lot of thermodynamic deficiencies which could not be overcome yesterday.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Day 2 slight risk now introduced for this same event possibly continuing past 12Z tomorrow over eastern NC.

 

[Clancy]

A Tornado Warning is out for a cell just west of De Funiak Springs. Tornadoes and snow a few hundred miles apart.

 

[crandall]

I got the small tornado crossing 65 near elkton yesterday.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

A Tornado Warning is out for a cell just west of De Funiak Springs. Tornadoes and snow a few hundred miles apart.

Rotation looks broad, maybe it was tighter earlier.

Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

 

[Clancy]

Rotation looks broad, maybe it was tighter earlier.

Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Yeah it got quite disorganized. Wasn't too strong to begin with as far as I could tell though.

 

[Clancy]

It got updated to a TORR now. I don't see a TDS but maybe I'm missing something.

 

[Clancy]

Tornado Watch out now until 9 PM EST.

 

[Jacob]

There was a very small TDS on the 1:04 and 1:06 scans, right after it crossed the interstate. It fell apart right after

 

[Equus]

Oh boy time to produce more tornadoes the day following a big event than on said event, again lol

 

[Mike S]

Both the Hazel Green and Triana tornadoes rated EF-0

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Tornado warning in effect for Orangeburg County, SC but storm doesn't look impressive on radar ATTM.

Edit: Expired/cancelled just as I posted. Stronger cell is up near Pinewood/Paxville.

 

[crandall]

 

[JayF]

Where is this at, what camera are you using, and why did you decide to turn from it?

 

[crandall]

Where is this at, what camera are you using, and why did you decide to turn from it?

Elkton Tn, Rexing dash cam

 

[TH2002]

Elkton Tn, Rexing dash cam

Unrelated, but have you had any luck with getting your Anderson Hills footage digitized?

 

[crandall]

Unrelated, but have you had any luck with getting your Anderson Hills footage digitized?

Actually i have a friend here it work that is hopefully going to be doing it in the next couple of weeks.

 

[TH2002]

Actually i have a friend here it work that is hopefully going to be doing it in the next couple of weeks.

You can do it yourself for cheap if you pick up an AV capture card for your computer, but if you don't have the know how to capture video or simply don't want to spend anything (a lot of people don't so its understandable) it's good you are going to have someone you trust digitize it for you. Much better than putting valuable film at the mercy of some third party company (*cough cough* Legacybox...) Plan on uploading the footage anywhere like YouTube, Google Drive, MEGA, Dailymotion etc.?