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Severe WX April 3-6 Severe weather

So. I’m thinking, tomorrow won’t go high risk. Due to how small and potentially messy the risk area will be.

But then again, I thought yesterday was barely worthy of a moderate risk until proven wrong.

Does anyone else think it will or won’t?
 
tornado examiner said:
So. I’m thinking, tomorrow won’t go high risk. Due to how small and potentially messy the risk area will be.

But then again, I thought yesterday was barely worthy of a moderate risk until proven wrong.

Does anyone else think it will or won’t?
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I think there's a chance, but it'd be confined to Arkansas only I think. In my mind, it's more conditional than yesterday was, so I'd lean towards keeping it Moderate. But we'll see in a few hours what SPC decides.
 
wx_guy said:
I think there's a chance, but it'd be confined to Arkansas only I think. In my mind, it's more conditional than yesterday was, so I'd lean towards keeping it Moderate. But we'll see in a few hours what SPC decides.
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I would be very surprised if it goes high. Maybe even more surprised than yesterday. It’s such a small moderate that it would have to be extended out some to accommodate a high risk.
 
Justin Hindman said:
With todays threat, I’m wondering if the atmosphere is worked over from yesterdays event. April 2018 2014 was a high risk day, April 29 a moderate was put in the area. Everything was elevated and nothing happened. Interesting to see if the same happens , or this one Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency through.
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I think for the most part has been accurate. A good thing
 
Maxis_s said:
Very glad no tornadoes were able to materialize, although it was always a highly conditional threat to begin with.
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Very much like Tuesday, even if the failure modes were notably different. It's like Wednesday's High Risk was bracketed by two highly-conditional days that ultimately failed to produce...
 
That Spring Hill storm from earlier looked absolutely unbelievable. So many videos of it, really crazy structure considering it being in the heart of Dixie Alley.
 
I'm going to call it a night and at least attempt to get a better night's sleep tonight than I did last night (I was awakened by a tornado warning near my area around 2:45 AM and was only able to get back to bed two hours later, blegh), so that I'll be charged up for tomorrow. In the meantime, I hope that things don't decide to go wild when we're trying to sleep tonight!
 
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