2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[dessertdoom]

Next time I say its been lame/boring someone please kick my a██ and/or find a way utilise my curse for good instead of evil.

Looks like that one's going east... maybe if the UK/spain/france is lucky it'll bring them some much needed rain.

 

[slenker]

Up to 60% odds for our most interesting wave in the central Atlantic right now, I think this one's going to be Cristobal. As of right now I expect a fish storm, perhaps peaking at C1-2 intensity. I wouldn't be surprised to see a higher intensity since it's got a lot of room over very warm water.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Yep here is the post from nhc two lemons and a apple now

 

[akt1985]

Too early to say, but it would not surprise me if no storms in the Atlantic get retired after the 2026 season is over.

 

[Atlantic]

Too early to say, but it would not surprise me if no storms in the Atlantic get retired after the 2026 season is over.

Would be the first time since 2023 if that happened

 

[slenker]

Interestingly, the northern system is now a tropical storm, and took Cristobal before the southern wave did. We also have another 7-day 30% right behind it, looks like the tropics are heating up just in time for peak season

 

[Clancy]

Definitely looking pretty interesting-looking at the moment. Will have to wait for more organization to gain confidence, but modelling currently progs it moving through the Caribbean Sea. Could pose a threat to the US Gulf Coast or eastern Mexico.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

the latest from the nhc

 

[KevinH]

We are almost at the end of August and NO ONE has anything to say over the last 10 days? lol

I thought someone would have posted an updated forecast or something by now. Is it really expected to be that quiet this year in the Atlantic?

 

[slenker]

We are almost at the end of August and NO ONE has anything to say over the last 10 days? lol

I thought someone would have posted an updated forecast or something by now. Is it really expected to be that quiet this year in the Atlantic?

Forecasts from major offices are calling for a below normal season at best and a very below normal season at worst. Outside of two waves being at medium odds at the moment, this season looks like it will continue to be very dead. This isn’t unexpected at all, strong El Niños tend to do this. I’m not surprised this thread has gone cold, and I’m definitely more welcoming of a dead Atlantic season with how awful the past couple years have been outside of 2023.

 

[KevinH]

Forecasts from major offices are calling for a below normal season at best and a very below normal season at worst. Outside of two waves being at medium odds at the moment, this season looks like it will continue to be very dead. This isn’t unexpected at all, strong El Niños tend to do this. I’m not surprised this thread has gone cold, and I’m definitely more welcoming of a dead Atlantic season with how awful the past couple years have been outside of 2023.

That is a good point. I am still sleeping with one eye open though LOL

 

[slenker]

That is a good point. I am still sleeping with one eye open though LOL

With how warm the Atlantic is, any system/wave that manages to find itself in an unsheared and moist environment, even if it isn't very long, is going to be capable of rapid intensification. It's just not nearly as likely as it would normally be, since shear over the Caribbean this year will be unrelenting for the most part. It's still worth keeping an eye on for sure, though.