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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

00z and 12z Euro are giving off TS Erin (07), TS Allison (01), and TS Olga (19) vibes next weekend. Definitely need to keep a close watch on this. Even NWS Jackson brought the Euro scenario up.
 

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JPWX said:
00z and 12z Euro are giving off TS Erin (07), TS Allison (01), and TS Olga (19) vibes next weekend. Definitely need to keep a close watch on this. Even NWS Jackson brought the Euro scenario up.
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Euro is remarkably consistent the past several runs on this possible system. NHC has assigned a 30% 7-day development probability as it skirts northeastern Mexico and Texas.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Northwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected during the next day or so while the
trough remains inland and drifts northward over northeastern Mexico
or southern Texas. The system is then forecast to move northeastward
and could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late
Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions may support
some development around midweek. Regardless of formation chances,
heavy rainfall and flash flooding are possible across portions of
eastern and southern Texas and Louisiana this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Adams/Blake
Click to expand...
 
Clancy said:
Euro is remarkably consistent the past several runs on this possible system. NHC has assigned a 30% 7-day development probability as it skirts northeastern Mexico and Texas.
Click to expand...
Yeah after NHC saying the last few days it wouldn't develop. LOL!
 
Looks like we might get Tropical Storm Arthur tomorrow, if it can get its act together quickly enough. Either way, this storm is likely to produce heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast.

 
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