2023 Tropical Weather

[warneagle]

Not the right ocean but we could be looking at one of the more significant tropical events to ever affect the Arabian Peninsula. Obviously the last thing Yemen needs given the frail state of the infrastructure there.

 

[WesL]

Watching Norma come ashore (again) on the western side of Mexico. They had another storm last week? Once it hits those mountains, it becomes a flood event for the eastern side. I've got a few members of my team in Torreon and they tell me in the list of things that don't go well down there flooding is near the top.

 

[TornadoFan]

Otis is going nuts.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[JPWX]

Man! I didn't expect another intensification rate faster than Patricia anytime soon, but yet here we are.

 

[andyhb]

Otis is now a Cat 5 and is getting perilously close to Acapulco. Pretty hard to find a worse scenario along the Pacific Coast of Mexico than this, especially given the short notice of Otis' explosive intensification.

 

[TornadoFan]

Otis is now a Cat 5 and is getting perilously close to Acapulco. Pretty hard to find a worse scenario along the Pacific Coast of Mexico than this, especially given the short notice of Otis' explosive intensification.

View attachment 21885

Good lord, that discussion is...something else.

 

[TornadoFan]

Otis is still intensifying.

 

[TH2002]

This is going to be a disaster of epic proportions...

 

[TornadoFan]

Already power flashes in Acapulco.

 

[warneagle]

From a tropical storm at noon to a cat 5 at midnight is insane. Basically your worst nightmare from an emergency management standpoint.

 

[TheSuckZone]

Hurricane noob here. What ingredients were in place for this thing to intensify so quickly?

 

[Clancy]

Mother Nature, she is a strange mistress.

 

[JPWX]

Hurricane noob here. What ingredients were in place for this thing to intensify so quickly?

Very warm waters, El Nino, and favorable atmospheric conditions. Though that's just partly why

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[OHWX97]

Horrific damage along the coast of Acapulco.

 

[TH2002]

Yikes. This is exactly the reason that when there's little word coming from an area after a major storm's passage, it's probably not a good thing.

 

[bjdeming]

At least these people were not in the surge zone.



****




Per Twitter translate of this tweet, intensification was from "perfect interaction between: Hot sea: 30-31ºC...Divergent outflow: powerful cloud developments...Jet stream: 'pushed” towards land and with more divergence'"

 

[warneagle]

I think the more disturbing question is why did the models whiff on this so hard? They handled Lee's explosive intensification pretty well, so it's not like it's something totally unprecedented that they can't resolve. This was basically the worst possible scenario though, unforecast rapid intensification from TS to cat 5 right before landfall in a highly populated area that isn't accustomed to strong hurricanes.